Iceland: Polls and trends for the Icelandic election 2029

Current Election Trend for Iceland

Who is leading the election trend?

In the current election trend for the Parliamentary Election in Iceland, Samfylkingin is leading with 20.8%, followed by Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn with 19.4%, Viðreisn with 15.9%, Flokkur fólksins with 13.8%, Miðflokkurinn with 12.1%, Framsóknarflokkurinn with 7.8%, Sósíalistaflokkur Íslands with 4%, Píratar with 3% and V with 2.3%. Other parties reach 0.9%.

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Iceland is expected to take place in 2029.

Government could stay in office

In the current election trend, the government parties receive 57.2% of the votes.
What do the symbols mean?
Far left
Left-wing
Centre-left
Center
Centre-right
Right-wing
Far right
Transversal
Liberal politics
Environment & Climate
Animal Protection
Satire
Regional interests
Unknown
S
20.8
D
19.4
C
15.9
F
13.8
M
12.1
B
7.8
J
4.0
P
3.0
V
2.3
Others
0.9

Coalitions

Who could enter parliament?

In the current election trend, 6 parties could enter parliament: Samfylkingin reaches 15 MPs, Flokkur fólksins reaches 10 MPs, Viðreisn reaches 11 MPs, Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn reaches 14 MPs, Miðflokkurinn reaches 8 MPs and Framsóknarflokkurinn reaches 5 MPs.

4% restrictive clause

The restrictive clause in Iceland is 5% (only for compensatory mandates).

Majority from 32 MPs

To form a government, 32 of 63 MPs are required.
Samfylkingin + Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Viðreisn
63.5%
Samfylkingin + Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Flokkur fólksins
61.9%
Samfylkingin + Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Miðflokkurinn
58.7%
Samfylkingin + Viðreisn + Flokkur fólksins
57.1%
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Viðreisn + Flokkur fólksins
55.6%
Samfylkingin + Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Framsóknarflokkurinn
54.0%
Samfylkingin + Viðreisn + Miðflokkurinn
54.0%
Viðreisn + Flokkur fólksins + Miðflokkurinn + Framsóknarflokkurinn
54.0%
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Viðreisn + Miðflokkurinn
52.4%
Samfylkingin + Flokkur fólksins + Miðflokkurinn
52.4%
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Flokkur fólksins + Miðflokkurinn
50.8%
Samfylkingin + Viðreisn + Framsóknarflokkurinn
49.2%
63
Majority requires 32 seats
S
15
23.8%
F
10
15.9%
C
11
17.5%
D
14
22.2%
M
8
12.7%
B
5
7.9%

Latest polls for Iceland

Gallup
· 4 months ago
4 months ago
Open Details
20.2
18.1
16
13.1
12.2
6.2
5.1
4.1
3.3
1.7
Prósent
· 4 months ago
4 months ago
Open Details
22
18.3
13.5
12.5
11.5
6.7
6.4
4.4
3
1
0.7
Maskína
· 4 months ago
4 months ago
Open Details
22.7
20.9
14.6
12.6
8.8
5.9
5
4.3
3.1
1.6
0.6

Iceland — National parliament voting intention

S D C F M B J P V L

Government and parliament

Katrín Jakobsdóttir

Head of government
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament : 63
Government & opposition
Government : 36
Opposition : 27
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties : 15
Right-leaning parties : 38

Most Reliable Polling Institutes in Iceland

Score Institute Accuracy Deviation
83
1.4
low
72
2.3
low
54
3.3
high

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.