Latest election polls for ltaly
PolitPro Election trend
M5S
16.6
+0.1
PD
19.6
±0.0
Lega
19.5
-0.1
FI
7.1
-0.1
FdI
20.1
+0.1
SI
2.1
±0.0
+E
1.5
-0.2
EV
1.6
±0.0
IV
2.2
+0.1
A1
1.9
+0.2
A
3.3
+0.2
Sonst.
4.5
-0.3
Development since the last election on 04.03.2018
M5S
-16.1
PD
+0.8
Lega
+2.1
FI
-6.9
FdI
+15.7
SI
+E
-1.1
EV
IV
A1
A
Political orientation
M5S
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PD
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Lega
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FI
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FdI
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SI
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+E
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EV
nature
IV
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A1
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A
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This is how the PolitPro election trend is calculated
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The PolitPro AI calculates its own election trend from the latest election polls of leading opinion research institutes. The individual values are calculated from a weighted average of the polls. Thereby, time dependencies, i.e. how long ago a poll was asked, or the accuracy of the institutes are also taken into account. The PolitPro election trend therefore allows a quick overview of the different parliaments.
latest election polls
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BiDiMedia
2 days ago
M5S
16%
-0.3
PD
21%
+0.4
Lega
19.2%
-0.1
FI
6.5%
-0.3
FdI
19.7%
+0.1
SI
2%
±0
+E
1.2%
+1.2
A
3.3%
+0.2
C!
0.9%
+0.9
IV
1.6%
±0
EV
1.5%
+0.1
A1
1.5%
±0
UV
0.5%
±0
Volt
0.5%
-0.1
Sonst.
4.6%
+0.3
SWG
5 days ago
M5S
16.9%
+1.1
PD
19%
+0.3
Lega
19.2%
-0.8
FI
7.1%
-0.1
FdI
20.7%
-0.3
SI
2.4%
-0.1
+E
1.6%
-0.4
A
4.1%
+0.7
IV
2.3%
-0.2
EV
1.8%
-0.4
A1
2.6%
±0
Sonst.
2.3%
+1.2
BiDiMedia
1 week ago
M5S
16.3%
+1.3
PD
20.6%
+0.3
Lega
19.3%
-0.9
FI
6.8%
±0
FdI
19.6%
+0.2
SI
2%
+0.1
CI
0.8%
-0.3
Volt
0.6%
±0
UV
0.5%
±0
EV
1.4%
-0.1
A1
1.5%
-0.3
IV
1.6%
-0.4
A
3.1%
+0.1
Sonst.
4.3%
+0.3
Noto
3 weeks ago
M5S
17.5%
+1.5
PD
18.5%
+0.5
Lega
18.5%
-3
FI
7%
±0
FdI
20%
+1.5
SI
1%
-0.5
+E
1%
+1
NcI
1.5%
±0
CI
1.5%
+1.5
EV
1%
-0.5
A1
1%
±0
IV
3%
+1
A
2.5%
±0
Sonst.
6%
+0.5
Termometro Politico
4 weeks ago
M5S
16%
±0
PD
19.5%
+0.3
Lega
20.4%
+0.1
FI
6.7%
-0.3
FdI
21%
-0.1
SI
2.9%
±0
+E
1.7%
+0.1
PC
1%
±0
EV
1.4%
±0
IV
2.6%
-0.2
A
3%
+0.2
Sonst.
3.8%
-0.1
Ixè
4 weeks ago
M5S
18%
+0.7
PD
19.4%
+0.2
Lega
19.3%
-0.6
FI
7.9%
-0.5
FdI
18.2%
-0.8
SI
2.2%
+0.2
+E
1.5%
-0.1
EV
1.7%
+0.6
IV
1.2%
±0
A1
2.5%
-0.2
A
3%
-0.1
Sonst.
5.1%
+0.6
Possible coalitions
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Fratelli d’Italia + Lega + Forza Italia
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Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia + Azione
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Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia
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Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia
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Lega + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia
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Fratelli d’Italia + Lega
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Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Azione
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How are the coalitions calculated?
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The overview shows the currently most likely coalitions based on the current PolitPro election trend. Only parties that would enter parliament are taken into account. The threshold for this is 3%.
The percentages shown refer to the percentage number of seats. Possible direct or overhang mandates are not taken into account.
Development of the electoral trend
M5S
PD
Lega
FI
FdI
SI
+E
A
A1
EV
IV
LeU
C!
PC
NcI
PaP
CPI
info
More info on the development
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The last election took place on 04.03.2018. The Corona crisis, with a large number of political actions, began in March 2020.