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Election trends and current polls for ltaly

PolitPro Election Trend

The current PolitPro election trend for the next parliamentary elections
star star star star star star star star
M5S
15.8%
+0.3
PD
20.8%
-0.2
Lega
26.7%
-0.1
FI
7%
+0.1
FdI
14.4%
+0.1
LS
2.6%
±0
+E
1.7%
+0.1
EV
1.7%
+0.1
A
2.4%
-0.1
IV
3.1%
-0.2
Sonstige
3.8%
-0.1
Changes to last election from 04.03.2018
M5S
-16.9
PD
+2.0
Lega
+9.3
FI
-7.0
FdI
+10.0
LS
+2.6
+E
-0.9
EV
+1.7
A
+2.4
IV
+3.1
Political orientation
M5S
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PD
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Lega
arrow_forward_iosarrow_forward_ios
FI
arrow_forward_ios
FdI
arrow_forward_iosarrow_forward_ios
LS
arrow_back_iosarrow_back_ios
+E
zoom_out_map
EV
nature
A
arrow_back_ios
IV
zoom_out_map

The artificial intelligence (AI) of PolitPro analyzes and evaluates current election polls of leading opinion research institutes. In the election trend, it calculates an intelligently weighted average of the values of current Sunday questions. For the calculation always the last values of an institute are used, taking into account the time dependencies as well as different qualitative and quantitative weightings.

The aim of the AI is to get a quick and uncomplicated overview of current political trends.

The displayed change of values always refers to the period of the last 7 days.

Latest polls

Current Sunday questions from leading opinion research institutes
Camera dei deputati
Tecnè - 01.06.2020
M5S
15.2%
+0.1
PD
20.8%
+0.1
Lega
25.8%
-0.1
FI
8.1%
±0
FdI
14.9%
±0
LS
2.7%
-0.1
+E
1.7%
+0.1
A
2.4%
±0
EV
1.7%
+0.1
IV
3.2%
-0.1
Sonstige
3.5%
-0.1
Camera dei deputati
Ixè - 01.06.2020
M5S
17.5%
+0.3
PD
20.9%
-0.7
Lega
25.3%
+0.7
FI
7.4%
+0.2
FdI
14.3%
-0.4
LS
2.4%
-0.1
+E
1.6%
±0
A
1.5%
-0.3
EV
2.4%
+0.2
IV
1.5%
-0.7
Sonstige
5.2%
+0.8
Camera dei deputati
EMG - 01.06.2020
M5S
15.7%
+0.3
PD
20.6%
-0.3
Lega
27.1%
+0.2
FI
6.8%
±0
FdI
14.6%
+0.3
LS
2.2%
-0.1
+E
1.5%
-0.1
A
2.6%
±0
EV
1.7%
-0.1
IV
4.7%
-0.3
Sonstige
2.5%
+0.1
Camera dei deputati
SWG - 25.05.2020
M5S
15.7%
-0.3
PD
20.2%
-0.4
Lega
26.9%
-0.1
FI
6.3%
+0.6
FdI
14.5%
+0.5
LS
3.4%
-0.3
+E
2.1%
-0.1
A
2.9%
+0.3
C!
1.3%
+0.2
EV
1.7%
+0.2
IV
2.7%
-0.3
Sonstige
2.3%
-0.3
Camera dei deputati
Termometro Politico - 23.05.2020
M5S
15%
+0.2
PD
21.5%
-0.1
Lega
29.2%
-0.2
FI
5.9%
-0.3
FdI
14.1%
-0.2
LS
2.5%
-0.2
+E
1.3%
-0.2
A
2.3%
+0.1
EV
1.5%
+0.4
IV
3.3%
+0.3
Sonstige
3.4%
+0.2
Data source: EOPAOD

Coalition possibilities

Possible coalitions based on the current PolitPro election trend
Whole Parliament
Lega + M5S + FdI
64.8%
Lega + M5S + FI
56.4%
Lega + FdI + FI
54.8%
PD + M5S + FI + IV
53.2%
Lega + M5S + IV
51.9%
Lega + FdI + IV
50.3%
PD + M5S + FI
49.7%
Lega + M5S
48.4%
Lega + FdI
46.8%
M5S + FdI + FI + IV
45.9%
PD + M5S + IV
45.2%

The coalitions are determined on the basis of a percentage distribution of seats of all parties represented in parliament. Possible overhang or compensation mandates are not taken into account.

The blocking clause is 3%.

Development of the election trend

The development of all parties since January 2018
M5S
PD
Lega
FI
FdI
LS
+E
A
EV
IV
C!
NcI
PaP
CPI

Last election

The results of the last election from 04.03.2018
Seats
Party Percent Seats
Movimento 5 Stelle 32.7% 7.1% 225 117
Lega 17.4% 13.3% 123 105
Partito Democratico 18.8% -6.6% 107 -185
Forza Italia 14.0% 14% 103 103
Fratelli d’Italia 4.4% 2.4% 32 23
Liberi e Uguali 3.4% 3.4% 14 14
Noi con l’Italia 1.3% 1.3% 4 4
Partito Popolare Sudtirolese 0.4% 0% 4 -1
Più Europa 2.6% 2.6% 2 2
Civica Popolare 0.5% 0.5% 2 2
Italia Europa Insieme 0.6% 0.6% 1 1
Sonstige 2.8% -0.3% 0 0
Potere al Popolo 1.1% 1.1% 0 0
In the last election of the 04.03.2018 617 representatives from 11 parliamentary groups were elected to the parliament. The next election is scheduled for the year 2023.