Current Election Trend for Italy

Who is leading the election trend?

In the current election trend for the Parliamentary Election in Italy, Fratelli d’Italia is leading with 29.5%, followed by Partito Democratico with 22.2%, Movimento 5 Stelle with 12.1%, Forza Italia with 9.3%, Lega with 8.6%, AVS with 6.2%, Azione with 3.3%, Italia Viva with 2.5%, Più Europa with 1.8% and NM with 1.1%. Other parties reach 3.4%.

On the rise: M5S

+1.4 growth in the last 3 months

Trending down: PD

-1.0 loss in the last 3 months

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Italy is expected to take place in 2027.

Government would have to worry

In the current election trend, the government parties receive 52.0% of the votes.
What do the symbols mean?
Far left
Left-wing
Centre-left
Center
Centre-right
Right-wing
Far right
Transversal
Liberal politics
Environment & Climate
Animal Protection
Satire
Regional interests
Unknown
FdI
29.5
PD
22.2
M5S
12.1
FI
9.3
Lega
8.6
AVS
6.2
A
3.3
IV
2.5
+E
1.8
NM
1.1
Others
3.4

Coalitions

Who could enter parliament?

In the current election trend, 7 parties could enter parliament: Movimento 5 Stelle reaches 53 MPs, AVS reaches 27 MPs, Partito Democratico reaches 98 MPs, Azione reaches 14 MPs, Forza Italia reaches 40 MPs, Fratelli d’Italia reaches 130 MPs and Lega reaches 38 MPs.

3% restrictive clause

The restrictive clause in Italy is 3%.

Majority from 201 MPs

To form a government, 201 of 400 MPs are required.
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia + Lega
57.3%
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia
55.8%
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Lega
55.3%
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + AVS
52.5%
Fratelli d’Italia + Forza Italia + Lega
52.0%
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia + Azione
51.3%
400
Majority requires 201 seats
M5S
53
13.3%
AVS
27
6.8%
PD
98
24.5%
A
14
3.5%
FI
40
10%
FdI
130
32.5%
Lega
38
9.5%

Latest polls for Italy

SWG
· 6 days ago
6 days ago
Open Details
30.4
22.4
12
8.6
8.5
6.5
3.5
2.9
1.6
1
2.6
Tecnè
· 1 week ago
1 week ago
Open Details
29.8
21.6
12
11.3
8.3
6
3.4
2
1.7
3.9
SWG
· 1 week ago
1 week ago
Open Details
30.1
22.5
12.2
8.6
8.4
6.4
3.5
2.8
1.7
1
2.8

Italy — National parliament voting intention

Parties in Italy

Liberal
Socialist
Capitalist
Conservative

Election trend by party at a glance

Party 30 days 3 months 6 months 12 months Since election
Fratelli d’Italia
Partito Democratico
Movimento 5 Stelle
Forza Italia
Lega
AVS
Azione
Italia Viva
Più Europa
NM
Show more

What's happening in Italy?

Government and parliament

Sergio Mattarella

Head of state

Giorgia Meloni

Head of government
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament : 400
Government & opposition
Government : 230
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties : 155
Right-leaning parties : 238

Most Reliable Polling Institutes in Italy

Score Institute Accuracy Deviation
84
1.2
low
84
1.2
very low
82
1.2
low
81
1.5
very low
80
1.6
low
More Institutes

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.