Who is leading the election trend?
In the current election trend for the Parliamentary Election in Italy, Fratelli d’Italia is leading with 29.5%, followed by Partito Democratico with 22.2%, Movimento 5 Stelle with 12.1%, Forza Italia with 9.3%, Lega with 8.6%, AVS with 6.2%, Azione with 3.3%, Italia Viva with 2.5%, Più Europa with 1.8% and NM with 1.1%. Other parties reach 3.4%.
On the rise: M5S
+1.4 growth in the last 3 months
Trending down: PD
-1.0 loss in the last 3 months
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Italy is expected to take place in 2027.
Government would have to worry
In the current election trend, the government parties receive 52.0% of the votes.
Development since the last election on 25.09.2022
What do the symbols mean?
Far left
Left-wing
Centre-left
Center
Centre-right
Right-wing
Far right
Transversal
Liberal politics
Environment & Climate
Animal Protection
Satire
Regional interests
Unknown
Coalitions
Who could enter parliament?
In the current election trend, 7 parties could enter parliament: Movimento 5 Stelle reaches 53 MPs, AVS reaches 27 MPs, Partito Democratico reaches 98 MPs, Azione reaches 14 MPs, Forza Italia reaches 40 MPs, Fratelli d’Italia reaches 130 MPs and Lega reaches 38 MPs.
3% restrictive clause
The restrictive clause in Italy is 3%.
Majority from 201 MPs
To form a government, 201 of 400 MPs are required.
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia + Lega
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Lega
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + AVS
Fratelli d’Italia + Forza Italia + Lega
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia + Azione
400
Majority requires 201 seats
M5S
53
13.3%
AVS
27
6.8%
PD
98
24.5%
A
14
3.5%
FI
40
10%
FdI
130
32.5%
Lega
38
9.5%
Latest polls for Italy
Italy — National parliament voting intention
Parties in Italy
Election trend by party at a glance
| Party | 30 days | 3 months | 6 months | 12 months | Since election |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fratelli d’Italia |
+0.4
|
-0.5
|
+0.2
|
+2.0
|
+3.5
|
| Partito Democratico |
+0.2
|
-1.0
|
-0.5
|
+2.3
|
+3.1
|
| Movimento 5 Stelle |
-0.4
|
+1.4
|
+0.7
|
-3.9
|
-3.3
|
| Forza Italia |
+0.1
|
-0.2
|
+0.2
|
+1.3
|
+1.2
|
| Lega |
±0.0
|
-0.1
|
-0.1
|
+0.4
|
-0.2
|
| AVS |
±0.0
|
+0.1
|
-0.4
|
+2.4
|
+2.6
|
| Azione |
±0.0
|
+0.4
|
+0.5
|
-0.4
|
+3.3
|
| Italia Viva |
+0.1
|
+0.2
|
+0.2
|
-0.7
|
+2.5
|
| Più Europa |
-0.1
|
-0.2
|
-0.1
|
-0.9
|
-1.0
|
| NM |
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
+0.2
|
What's happening in Italy?
Venice doubles entry fee for last-minute day-trippers
Venice has reintroduced an entry charge for day travellers. Those planning a last-minute trip will need to pay twice the amount compared to 2024.
DW.com
- 18.04.2025
Italy moves to curb 'right of blood' citizenship claims
Citizenship claims based on blood ties will now be limited to two generations, whereas previously, going back four generations could secure a passport.
DW.com
- 29.03.2025
Italy: Capri mayor blocks tourists amid water shortage
An aqueduct supplying water to the popular tourist destination has failed, sparking an acute emergency. Residents and tourists with hotel reservations are allowed to be on the island, all others have been turned away.
DW.com
- 22.06.2024
Government and parliament
Sergio Mattarella
Head of state
Giorgia Meloni
Head of government
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament
: 400
Government & opposition
Government
: 230
Opposition
: 170
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties
: 155
Right-leaning parties
: 238
Most Reliable Polling Institutes in Italy
| Score | Institute | Accuracy | Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|
|
84
|
1.2
|
low
| |
|
84
|
1.2
|
very low
| |
|
82
|
1.2
|
low
| |
|
81
|
1.5
|
very low
| |
|
80
|
1.6
|
low
| |
| More Institutes |
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.