Latest election polls for ltaly

PolitPro election trend

M5S
15%
±0
PD
20.5%
-0.2
Lega
23.8%
-0.2
FI
6.9%
+0.3
FdI
16%
-0.2
LS
3.2%
+3.2
+E
2%
±0
A
3.2%
+0.1
IV
3.2%
-0.1
EV
1.6%
±0
Sonstige
4.6%
-2.9
Development since the last election on 04.03.2018
M5S
-17.7
PD
+1.7
Lega
+6.4
FI
-7.1
FdI
+11.6
LS
+3.2
+E
-0.6
A
+3.2
IV
+3.2
EV
+1.6
Political orientation
M5S
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PD
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Lega
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FI
arrow_forward_ios
FdI
arrow_forward_iosarrow_forward_ios
LS
arrow_back_iosarrow_back_ios
+E
zoom_out_map
A
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IV
zoom_out_map
EV
nature

The PolitPro AI calculates its own election trend based on the latest polling results of leading research institutes. The individual values are calculated by a weighted average of the polls. Thereby, time dependencies, i.e. how long ago a poll was asked, or the accuracy of the institutes are also taken into account. The PolitPro election trend is designed to provide you a quick overview of the different parliaments.

The election trend was last updated on 28.11.2020.

Latest election polls

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M5S
14.3%
-0.2
PD
20.3%
+0.2
Lega
24.4%
-0.6
FI
7.1%
+0.4
FdI
16.4%
+0.3
+E
1.8%
+0.1
C!
1.2%
±0
LeU
2.5%
-0.3
A
3.8%
+0.1
IV
4.3%
-0.1
EV
1.8%
+0.1
Sonstige
2.1%
±0
M5S
15.6%
+0.3
PD
20.3%
+0.4
Lega
23.3%
+0.3
FI
6.4%
+0.2
FdI
16.2%
-0.5
LS
3.7%
+3.7
+E
2%
-0.4
C!
1.1%
-0.2
A
3.6%
+0.2
IV
2.9%
-0.3
EV
2%
+0.2
Sonstige
2.9%
-0.3
M5S
15%
-1
PD
20.3%
-0.6
Lega
23.4%
-0.6
FI
6.9%
+0.5
FdI
15.4%
-0.7
LS
3.6%
+3.6
+E
2.6%
+0.4
A
3.2%
+0.4
IV
3%
±0
EV
1.8%
+1.8
Sonstige
4.8%
-0.5
M5S
15.6%
-0.2
PD
21.7%
+0.1
Lega
22.3%
-0.1
FI
8.1%
+0.4
FdI
16.3%
-0.6
LS
2.6%
+0.1
+E
1.8%
+0.3
EV
1.3%
-0.1
IV
2.7%
-0.1
A
2.3%
-0.1
Sonstige
5.3%
+0.3
M5S
14.3%
-0.3
PD
20.9%
+0.4
Lega
25.1%
+0.2
FI
6.1%
+0.3
FdI
16.2%
±0
LS
2.7%
-0.3
+E
1.3%
-0.4
IV
2.8%
-0.2
A
3.3%
+0.2
PCI
1%
±0
EV
1.3%
±0
Exit
2.1%
+0.1
Sonstige
2.9%
±0
M5S
14.4%
-0.1
PD
20.6%
-0.1
Lega
23.2%
-0.2
FI
7.9%
±0
FdI
17.1%
±0
LS
3.5%
+0.2
+E
2%
+0.1
A
3.5%
+0.2
IV
3.3%
-0.1
EV
1.4%
-0.1
Sonstige
3.1%
+0.1

Possible coalitions

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Lega + Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle
59.6%
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Lega + Fratelli d’Italia + Forza Italia + Azione
54.3%
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Lega + Fratelli d’Italia + Forza Italia + Italia Viva
54.3%
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Lega + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia + Italia Viva
53.2%
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Lega + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia + Azione
53.2%
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Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia + Azione + Italia Viva
53.1%
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Lega + Fratelli d’Italia + Forza Italia
50.8%
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Lega + Fratelli d’Italia + Azione + Italia Viva
50.3%
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Lega + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia
49.7%
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Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia + Azione
49.6%
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Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia + Italia Viva
49.6%
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Lega + Movimento 5 Stelle + Azione + Italia Viva
49.2%
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Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Azione + Italia Viva + La Sinistra
49.1%
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Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia + Azione + Italia Viva
48.2%
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Lega + Fratelli d’Italia + Azione
46.8%
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Lega + Fratelli d’Italia + Italia Viva
46.8%
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Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia
46.1%
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Lega + Movimento 5 Stelle + Azione
45.7%
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Lega + Movimento 5 Stelle + Italia Viva
45.7%
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Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Azione + Italia Viva
45.6%
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Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Italia Viva + La Sinistra
45.6%
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Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Azione + La Sinistra
45.6%

The overview shows the most likely coalitions based on the current PolitPro election trend. Only parties that would enter the parliament are taken into account. The blocking clause for these parties is 3%.
The percentages displayed refer to the percentage of seats. Possible direct or overhang mandates are not taken into account.

Development of the election trend

M5S
PD
Lega
FI
FdI
LS
+E
A
EV
IV
LeU
C!
PCI
NcI
PaP
CPI

The chart above shows the development of the poll results from January 2018 to the most recent election polls. The corona crisis with its many political interventions started in March 2020, the last election took place on 04.03.2018.