Who is leading the election trend?
In the current election trend for the Parliamentary Election in Italy, Fratelli d’Italia is leading with 29.5%, followed by Partito Democratico with 22.5%, Movimento 5 Stelle with 11.8%, Forza Italia with 9.5%, Lega with 8.3%, AVS with 6.2%, Azione with 3.1%, Italia Viva with 2.2%, Più Europa with 2% and NM with 1.2%. Other parties reach 3.7%.
On the rise: M5S
+1.1 growth in the last 30 days
Trending down: PD
-0.7 loss in the last 30 days
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Italy is expected to take place in 2027.
Government could stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties receive 52.3% of the votes.
Development since the last election on 25.09.2022
What do the symbols mean?
Far left
Left-wing
Centre-left
Center
Centre-right
Right-wing
Far right
Transversal
Liberal politics
Environment & Climate
Animal Protection
Satire
Regional interests
Unknown
Coalitions
Who could enter parliament?
In the current election trend, 7 parties could enter parliament: Movimento 5 Stelle reaches 52 MPs, AVS reaches 27 MPs, Partito Democratico reaches 99 MPs, Azione reaches 13 MPs, Forza Italia reaches 42 MPs, Fratelli d’Italia reaches 131 MPs and Lega reaches 36 MPs.
3% restrictive clause
The restrictive clause in Italy is 3%.
Majority from 201 MPs
To form a government, 201 of 400 MPs are required.
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia + Lega
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Lega
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + AVS
Fratelli d’Italia + Forza Italia + Lega
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia + Azione
400
Majority requires 201 seats
M5S
52
13%
AVS
27
6.8%
PD
99
24.8%
A
13
3.3%
FI
42
10.5%
FdI
131
32.8%
Lega
36
9%
Latest polls for Italy
Italy — National parliament voting intention
Parties in Italy
Election trend by party at a glance
| Party | 30 days | 3 months | 6 months | 12 months | Since election |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fratelli d’Italia |
-0.5
|
+0.2
|
+0.4
|
+1.9
|
+3.5
|
| Partito Democratico |
-0.7
|
-0.3
|
-0.7
|
+2.7
|
+3.4
|
| Movimento 5 Stelle |
+1.1
|
+0.7
|
+0.6
|
-4.3
|
-3.6
|
| Forza Italia |
±0.0
|
+0.2
|
+0.1
|
+1.6
|
+1.4
|
| Lega |
-0.4
|
-0.2
|
-0.3
|
±0.0
|
-0.5
|
| AVS |
+0.1
|
-0.5
|
-0.5
|
+2.4
|
+2.6
|
| Azione |
+0.2
|
+0.1
|
+0.1
|
-0.6
|
+3.1
|
| Italia Viva |
-0.1
|
-0.2
|
-0.1
|
-1.0
|
+2.2
|
| Più Europa |
±0.0
|
+0.1
|
+0.3
|
-0.7
|
-0.8
|
| NM |
+0.1
|
+0.1
|
±0.0
|
+0.1
|
+0.3
|
What's happening in Italy?
Italy: Capri mayor blocks tourists amid water shortage
An aqueduct supplying water to the popular tourist destination has failed, sparking an acute emergency. Residents and tourists with hotel reservations are allowed to be on the island, all others have been turned away.
DW.com
- 22.06.2024
Germany to set up border controls for Euro 2024
As European countries like France raised terror alert levels after the attack on Moscow, Germany's interior minister said border security will be bolstered ahead of this summer's European Championship.
DW.com
- 26.03.2024
Germany says NGO sea rescue funding planned through 2026
Germany's Foreign Ministry says the country will donate money to migrant rescue boat charities operating in the Mediterranean. This followed media reports saying it would be axed, amid no mention in next year's budget.
DW.com
- 07.10.2023
Government and parliament
Sergio Mattarella
Head of state
Giorgia Meloni
Head of government
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament
: 400
Government & opposition
Government
: 230
Opposition
: 170
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties
: 155
Right-leaning parties
: 238
Most Reliable Polling Institutes in Italy
| Score | Institute | Accuracy | Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|
|
84
|
1.2
|
low
| |
|
84
|
1.2
|
very low
| |
|
82
|
1.2
|
low
| |
|
81
|
1.5
|
very low
| |
|
80
|
1.6
|
low
| |
| More Institutes |
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.