Turkey: Polls and trends for the Turkish election 2028

Current Election Trend for Turkey

Who is leading the election trend?

In the current election trend for the Parliamentary Election in Turkey, CHP is leading with 33%, followed by AKP with 30.6%, DEM with 9%, MHP with 8.1%, İYİ with 5.5%, ZP with 4.2%, YRP with 3.1% and Anahtar Parti with 2.3%. Other parties reach 4.2%.

Next election: 2028

The next parliamentary election in Turkey is expected to take place in 2028.

Government would have to worry

In the current election trend, the government parties receive 48.0% of the votes.
Development since the last election on 14.05.2023
CHP
+7.6
AKP
-4.9
DEM
+0.2
MHP
-2.0
İYİ
-4.3
ZP
+1.9
YRP
+0.3
A
New
Political orientation
CHP
AKP
DEM
MHP
İYİ
ZP
YRP
A
What do the symbols mean?
Far left
Left-wing
Centre-left
Center
Centre-right
Right-wing
Far right
Transversal
Liberal politics
Environment & Climate
Animal Protection
Satire
Regional interests
Unknown
CHP
33.0
AKP
30.6
DEM
9.0
MHP
8.1
İYİ
5.5
ZP
4.2
YRP
3.1
A
2.3
Others
4.2

Coalitions

Who could enter parliament?

In the current election trend, 4 parties could enter parliament: CHP reaches 246 MPs, DEM reaches 66 MPs, AKP reaches 228 MPs and MHP reaches 60 MPs.

Electoral System

The Turkish Parliament has 600 seats. Parties must achieve 7% of the votes to enter the Parliament - one of the highest thresholds in the world. The seats are allocated to 87 electoral districts using the D'Hondt system.

7% restrictive clause

The restrictive clause in Turkey is 7%.

Majority from 301 MPs

To form a government, 301 of 600 MPs are required.
CHP + DEM
52.0%
AKP + DEM
49.0%
AKP + MHP
48.0%
600
Majority requires 301 seats
CHP
246
41%
DEM
66
11%
AKP
228
38%
MHP
60
10%

Latest polls for Turkey

ALF
· 1 month ago
1 month ago
CHP
34
AKP
31.3
DEM
9.4
MHP
8.1
ZP
4.3
İYİ
4.2
YRP
3
A
1.6
TİP
0.7
Others
3.4
Asal Araştırma
· 1 month ago
1 month ago
CHP
32.8
AKP
31.2
DEM
8.9
MHP
8.3
İYİ
5.5
ZP
4.2
YRP
2.9
A
1.9
TİP
1.3
Others
3
Hbs Araştırma Şirketi
· 1 month ago
1 month ago
CHP
33.4
AKP
29.7
DEM
8
MHP
8
İYİ
6.3
ZP
4
YRP
3.9
A
3
Others
3.7

Parliamentary Election in Turkey 2023

14.05.2023

Parliamentary Election in Turkey 2018

24.06.2018

Turkey — National parliament voting intention

CHP AKP DEM MHP İYİ ZP YRP A TİP AP MP BBP HDP DEVA GP SP

Parties in Turkey

Liberal
Socialist
Capitalist
Conservative
AKP CHP MHP İYİ

Election trend by party at a glance

Party 30 days 3 months 6 months 12 months Since election
CHP
±0.0
-0.2
-0.6
+2.0
+7.6
AKP
±0.0
±0.0
-0.3
+0.5
-4.9
DEM
±0.0
-0.2
+0.1
-0.3
+0.2
MHP
±0.0
+0.6
±0.0
-0.2
-2.0
İYİ
±0.0
+0.3
+0.7
-0.1
-4.3
ZP
±0.0
-0.4
+0.2
-0.7
+1.9
YRP
±0.0
-0.1
-0.1
-1.3
+0.3
Anahtar Parti
±0.0
-0.3
±0.0
±0.0
+2.3
Show more

Electoral system

7% threshold: One of the highest electoral barriers in the world.

In Turkey, parties must secure at least 7 percent of all votes to enter Parliament. This threshold is one of the highest globally - for comparison, in Germany it is set at 5 percent. As a result, many votes often go unrepresented, disproportionately benefiting the larger parties.

600 representatives from 87 electoral districts: Here's how the election works.

The Grand National Assembly consists of 600 representatives elected from 87 electoral districts. Each district sends between 2 and 36 representatives, depending on its population. Istanbul, as the largest district, sends 36 parliamentarians, while smaller provinces only have 2 mandates.

Unique voting system: Focus on lists rather than individuals.

Turkish voters do not vote for individual candidates but for party lists. The order on the list determines who enters Parliament. A special feature is that independent candidates can only run in their home district and do not need to overcome the 7% threshold.
Direct Election Members are elected directly by the people.
Party List Vote Voters choose between party lists instead of individuals.
Proportional System Seats are distributed in proportion to votes received.
One Round The election is decided in a single round of voting.
Partly Free Elections take place but with major restrictions.

Government and parliament

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

Head of government
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament : 600
Government & opposition
Government : 316
Opposition : 284
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties : 235
Right-leaning parties : 365

Most Reliable Polling Institutes in Turkey

Score Institute Accuracy Deviation
72
Yöneylem
1.8
medium
71
AREA
2.1
medium
68
HBS
2.2
medium
67
ASAL
?
high
65
ALF
1.8
high
More Institutes

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
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