Current Election Trend for Luxembourg
Who is leading in the election trend in Luxembourg?
In the current election trend in Luxembourg, CSV leads with 29.2% and thus maintains the level of the last election (±0.0 percentage points).
LSAP reaches 18.9% and thus maintains the level of the last election (±0.0 percentage points).
Demokratesch Partei reaches 18.7% and thus maintains the level of the last election (±0.0 percentage points).
ADR reaches 9.3% and thus maintains the level of the last election (±0.0 percentage points).
Déi Gréng reaches 8.6% and thus maintains the level of the last election (±0.0 percentage points).
Piratepartei reaches 6.7% and thus maintains the level of the last election (±0.0 percentage points).
Déi Lénk reaches 3.9% and thus maintains the level of the last election (±0.0 percentage points).
Fokus reaches 2.5% and thus maintains the level of the last election (±0.0 percentage points).
KPL reaches 0.6% and thus maintains the level of the last election (±0.0 percentage points).
1.6% would vote for another small party in current polls (Other).
Which polls were considered in the election trend?
What values do the small parties have?
Representative polls are subject to statistical fluctuations and have a margin of error of 1.5 to 3 percentage points. Some polling institutes only mention small parties with a value of 3% or higher. PolitPro does not conduct its own polls and therefore has no more detailed information about small parties. To calculate reliable values, parties are only considered in the election trend if they are explicitly listed in at least half of all polls.
Polls are usually a projection. This means that the raw data is modified by the institutes based on various criteria to come as close as possible to the possible outcome of an election. However, the exact calculation methods of the polling institutes are not publicly known.
Could the government stay in office?
Which parties would enter parliament?
In the current election trend, 9 parties could enter parliament: CSV, LSAP, Demokratesch Partei, ADR, Déi Gréng, Piratepartei, Déi Lénk, Fokus and KPL reach the necessary percentages to surpass the parliamentary threshold.
To calculate virtual seats, all parties in the election trend that achieve sufficient votes to surpass the parliamentary threshold are considered. Since polls only determine the voting intentions of parties, compensation and overhang mandates cannot be taken into account.
Are non-voters considered in the election trend?
Why does PolitPro show the political orientation of parties?
Current Election Trend for EU-Parliament
Latest polls for Luxembourg
What is the latest poll for Luxembourg?
Coalitions
Which coalitions are currently possible in Luxembourg?
Information on the Coalition Overview
The overview of possible coalitions for the election in Luxembourg shows the main coalition possibilities. The coalitions are calculated based on the virtual seats of the election trend. Only parties that surpass the percentage threshold with their votes are considered. A complete overview of coalition possibilities can be found through the link below.
The number on the right indicates how many percent of the virtual seats a coalition would reach. From 50% of the votes, a coalition has realistic chances of forming the government. The icon above a bar on the right indicates the political orientation of a coalition (Left, right, center).
Election trend by party at a glance
Party | 30 days | 3 months | 6 months | 12 months | Since election |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
CSV |
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
+0.9
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
LSAP |
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
-0.9
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
Demokratesch Partei |
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
+1.3
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
ADR |
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
+2.4
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
Déi Gréng |
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
-2.1
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
Piratepartei |
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
-2.9
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
Déi Lénk |
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
-1.1
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
Fokus |
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
+1.4
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
KPL |
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
Luxembourg — National parliament voting intention
Information on the Development of the Election Trend
Government and parliament
Which parties are in the parliament of Luxembourg?
In the parliament of Luxembourg, there are 60 representatives from 7 parties. 35 representatives are part of the government from CSV and Demokratesch Partei. The opposition from LSAP, ADR, Déi Gréng, Piratepartei and Déi Lénk has 25 representatives.
16 of the representatives are politically more left-leaning, while 26 representatives are politically more right-leaning.
Who governs in Luxembourg?
Parliamentary election in Luxembourg 2028
The Parliamentary election in Luxembourg 2028 will probably take place in 2028. Once the results are in, the election results will be posted on this page.
Luc Frieden is currently governing with a Coalition of the center of CSV and Demokratesch Partei. In the last Parliamentary election in Luxembourg in 2023, CSV (29.2% - 21 seats), LSAP (18.9% - 11 seats), Demokratesch Partei (18.7% - 14 seats), ADR (9.3% - 5 seats), Déi Gréng (8.6% - 4 seats), Piratepartei (6.7% - 3 seats) and Déi Lénk (3.9% - 2 seats) entered parliament. The turnout of that election was 87.2%.