Who is leading the election trend?
In the current election trend for the Parliamentary Election in Spain, Partido Popular is leading with 33.5%, followed by PSOE with 28.4%, Vox with 13.9%, Sumar with 6.3%, Podemos with 4.4%, SALF with 2.3%, ERC with 1.8%, Junts per Catalunya with 1.7%, EH Bildu with 1.3% and Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco with 1.1%. Other parties reach 5.3%.
On the rise: Vox
+1.3 growth in the last 3 months
Trending down: PP
-0.7 loss in the last 3 months
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Spain is expected to take place in 2027.
Government might not stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties receive 40.0% of the votes.
Development since the last election on 23.07.2023
What do the symbols mean?
Far left
Left-wing
Centre-left
Center
Centre-right
Right-wing
Far right
Transversal
Liberal politics
Environment & Climate
Animal Protection
Satire
Regional interests
Unknown
Coalitions
Who could enter parliament?
In the current election trend, 5 parties could enter parliament: Sumar reaches 25 MPs, Podemos reaches 18 MPs, PSOE reaches 115 MPs, Partido Popular reaches 136 MPs and Vox reaches 56 MPs.
3% restrictive clause
The restrictive clause in Spain is 3% (per constituency). Since most constituencies have a low number of seats, the effective threshold is significantly higher there.
Majority from 176 MPs
To form a government, 176 of 350 MPs are required.
Partido Popular + PSOE
Partido Popular + Vox
PSOE + Sumar
350
Majority requires 176 seats
Sumar
25
7.1%
POD
18
5.1%
PSOE
115
32.9%
PP
136
38.9%
Vox
56
16%
Latest polls for Spain
34.5
28.3
14
5.6
4.7
1.9
1.7
1.6
1.3
1.1
0.8
0.5
0.2
3.8
33.5
28.3
14.1
7.1
4.2
2.5
1.9
1.5
1.4
1.1
0.7
0.4
0.2
3.1
Spain — National parliament voting intention
Parties in Spain
Election trend by party at a glance
| Party | 30 days | 3 months | 6 months | 12 months | Since election |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Popular |
+0.1
|
-0.7
|
-0.7
|
-3.5
|
+0.4
|
| PSOE |
-0.2
|
-0.2
|
-2.0
|
-2.1
|
-3.3
|
| Vox |
+0.4
|
+1.3
|
+3.3
|
+3.4
|
+1.5
|
| Sumar |
-0.3
|
-0.3
|
-0.7
|
-3.9
|
-6.0
|
| Podemos |
+0.4
|
+0.3
|
+0.6
|
±0.0
|
+4.4
|
| SALF |
-0.2
|
-0.2
|
-1.3
|
±0.0
|
+2.3
|
| ERC |
+0.1
|
+0.1
|
+0.2
|
±0.0
|
-0.1
|
| Junts per Catalunya |
±0.0
|
-0.2
|
-0.1
|
+0.1
|
+0.1
|
| EH Bildu |
-0.1
|
-0.1
|
-0.2
|
±0.0
|
-0.1
|
| Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco |
-0.1
|
±0.0
|
-0.1
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
Government and parliament
Pedro Sánchez
Head of government
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament
: 350
Government & opposition
Government
: 152
Opposition
: 198
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties
: 166
Right-leaning parties
: 177
Most Reliable Polling Institutes in Spain
| Score | Institute | Accuracy | Neutrality |
|---|---|---|---|
|
84
|
1.1
|
good
| |
|
82
|
1.0
|
ok
| |
|
80
|
1.0
|
bad
| |
|
73
|
1.3
|
good
| |
|
73
|
1.8
|
good
| |
| More Institutes |
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.