Election trends and current polls for Spain

PolitPro Election Trend

The current PolitPro election trend for the next parliamentary elections
PSOE
27.1%
-0.2
PP
23.5%
+0.6
Vox
13.9%
-0.9
UP
12.5%
+0.4
Cs
7.6%
+0.1
ERC
3.2%
-0.4
Comp
1.6%
-0.2
PNV
1.6%
+0.1
PDeCAT
2.4%
±0
Sonstige
6.6%
+0.5
Changes to last election from 10.11.2019
PSOE
-0.9
PP
+2.7
Vox
-1.2
UP
-0.4
Cs
+0.8
ERC
-0.4
Comp
+1.6
PNV
±0.0
PDeCAT
+2.4
Political orientation
PSOE
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PP
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Vox
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UP
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Cs
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ERC
location_city
Comp
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PNV
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PDeCAT
location_city

The artificial intelligence (AI) of PolitPro analyzes and evaluates current election polls of leading opinion research institutes. In the election trend, it calculates an intelligently weighted average of the values of current Sunday questions. For the calculation always the last values of an institute are used, taking into account the time dependencies as well as different qualitative and quantitative weightings.

The aim of the AI is to get a quick and uncomplicated overview of current political trends.

The displayed change of values always refers to the period of the last 7 days.

Latest polls

Current Sunday questions from leading opinion research institutes
Congreso de los Diputados
Sigma Dos - 03.07.2020
28.7%
-1
PP
26%
-0.4
Vox
11.7%
-0.1
UP
12%
+0.6
Cs
8.3%
+2.3
ERC
3.1%
-0.5
1.2%
+0.2
2%
+0.1
PNV
1.9%
±0
5.1%
-1.2
Congreso de los Diputados
electoPanel - 03.07.2020
25.5%
-0.4
PP
24.6%
-0.1
Vox
14.2%
+0.1
UP
11.8%
+0.1
Cs
8.2%
+0.3
ERC
3.6%
±0
1.9%
-0.1
BNG
0.5%
±0
CC
0.5%
±0
1.2%
±0
2.6%
±0
PNV
1.3%
±0
4.1%
+0.1
Congreso de los Diputados
Demoscopia y Servicios - 03.07.2020
25%
-0.1
PP
24.2%
+0.3
Vox
15.1%
-0.1
UP
13.7%
+0.1
Cs
6.2%
-0.2
ERC
3.1%
-0.1
1.5%
+0.1
BNG
0.6%
+0.1
CC
0.4%
±0
1.4%
+0.1
2.8%
+0.1
PNV
1.5%
±0
4.5%
-0.3
Congreso de los Diputados
electoPanel - 03.07.2020
26.3%
+0.4
PP
24.2%
-0.5
Vox
14.2%
+0.1
UP
11.7%
±0
Cs
8%
+0.1
ERC
3.5%
-0.1
2%
±0
BNG
0.5%
±0
CC
0.5%
±0
1.2%
±0
2.6%
±0
PNV
1.3%
±0
4%
±0
Congreso de los Diputados
Invymark - 03.07.2020
27.8%
+0.9
PP
21%
+1
Vox
14.1%
-1.4
UP
12.8%
-0.4
Cs
8.7%
+0.1
15.6%
-0.2
Data source: EOPAOD

Coalition possibilities

Possible coalitions based on the current PolitPro election trend
Whole Parliament
PSOE + PP
57.7%
PSOE + UP + Cs
53.8%
PP + Vox + Cs
51.3%
PSOE + UP + ERC
48.7%
PSOE + UP
45.1%

The coalitions are determined on the basis of a percentage distribution of seats of all parties represented in parliament. Possible overhang or compensation mandates are not taken into account.

The blocking clause is 3%.

Development of the election trend

The development of all parties since January 2018
PSOE
PP
Vox
UP
Cs
ERC
Comp
PDeCAT
PNV
EH Bildu
BNG
CC
PACMA

Last election

The results of the last election from 10.11.2019
Seats
Party Percent Seats
PSOE 28.0% -0.7% 120 -3
Partido Popular 20.8% 4.1% 89 23
Vox 15.1% 4.8% 52 28
Unidos Podemos 12.9% -1.4% 35 -7
ERC 3.6% -0.3% 13 -2
Ciudadanos 6.8% -9.1% 10 -47
Junts per Catalunya 2.2% 0.3% 8 1
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.6% 0.1% 6 -9
EH Bildu 1.1% 0.1% 5 1
Más País 2.4% 2.4% 3 3
CUP 1.0% 1% 2 2
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario 0.5% 0% 2 0
UPN 0.4% 0% 2 0
Galego 0.5% 0.5% 1 1
PRC 0.3% 0.1% 1 0
Sonstige 1.8% -0.9% 0 0
PACMA 0.9% -0.4% 0 0
In the last election of the 10.11.2019 348 representatives from 14 parliamentary groups were elected to the parliament. The next election is scheduled for the year 2023.