Election trends and current polls for Spain
PolitPro Election Trend
The artificial intelligence (AI) of PolitPro analyzes and evaluates current election polls of leading opinion research institutes. In the election trend, it calculates an intelligently weighted average of the values of current Sunday questions. For the calculation always the last values of an institute are used, taking into account the time dependencies as well as different qualitative and quantitative weightings.
The aim of the AI is to get a quick and uncomplicated overview of current political trends.
The displayed change of values always refers to the period of the last 7 days.
Latest polls
Coalition possibilities
The coalitions are determined on the basis of a percentage distribution of seats of all parties represented in parliament. Possible overhang or compensation mandates are not taken into account.
The blocking clause is 3%.
Development of the election trend
Last election
| Party (min. 0.2%) | Percent | Seats | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSOE | 28.0% | -0.7% | 120 | -3 |
| Partido Popular | 20.8% | 4.1% | 89 | 23 |
| Vox | 15.1% | 4.8% | 52 | 28 |
| Unidos Podemos | 12.9% | -1.4% | 35 | -7 |
| ERC/Catalunya Sí | 3.6% | -0.3% | 13 | -2 |
| Ciudadanos | 6.8% | -9.1% | 10 | -47 |
| Junts per Catalunya | 2.2% | 0.3% | 8 | 1 |
| Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 1.6% | 0.1% | 6 | -9 |
| EH Bildu | 1.1% | 0.1% | 5 | 1 |
| Más País | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3 | 3 |
| CUP | 1.0% | 1% | 2 | 2 |
| Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario | 0.5% | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| UPN | 0.4% | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Galego | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1 | 1 |
| PRC | 0.3% | 0.1% | 1 | 0 |
| Sonstige | 1.8% | -0.9% | 0 | 0 |
| PACMA | 0.9% | -0.4% | 0 | 0 |