PolitPro Election trend
Development since the last election on 10.11.2019
If this Sunday were a general election in Spain, the parties would receive the following results: Partido Popular 31.7%, PSOE 24.4%, Vox 15.2%, Unidos Podemos 10.3%, ERC 3.2%, Más País 3%, Ciudadanos 2.1%, Junts per Catalunya 2.1%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.6% and EH Bildu 1.3%.
42.2% of the votes went to parties with a more left-wing orientation (center-left, left, far-left), 50.6% to parties with a more right-wing orientation (center-right, right, far-right).
The current left-wing government of Pedro Sánchez would achieve 39.5% of seats in parliament and thus lose its majority.
Latest election polls
Sigma Dos
4 days ago
Data10
5 days ago
Possible coalitions
Partido Popular + PSOE
Partido Popular + Vox
PSOE + Unidos Podemos + ERC + Más País
Development of the electoral trend
Things to know about the election trend
This is how the PolitPro election trend is calculated
The PolitPro AI calculates its own election trend from the latest election polls of leading opinion research institutes. The individual values are calculated from a weighted average of the polls. Thereby, time dependencies, i.e. how long ago a poll was asked, or the accuracy of the institutes are also taken into account. The PolitPro election trend therefore allows a quick overview of the different parliaments.
The election trend takes into account the last polls of all institutes with election polls in the past 100 days. At least 18625 persons participated in these polls.