Current Election Trend for Czech Republic
Who is leading in the election trend in Czech Republic?
In the current election trend in Czech Republic, ANO 2011 leads with 34.6%. This is a significant increase of +7.5 percentage points since the last election.
ODS reaches 13.5%. This means a significant loss in voter favor since the last election ().
Piráti reaches 10.3%. This means a significant loss in voter favor since the last election ().
SPD reaches 9.3% and thus maintains the level of the last election (-0.3 percentage points).
STAN reaches 7.9%. This means a significant loss in voter favor since the last election ().
TOP 09 reaches 5.2%. This means a significant loss in voter favor since the last election ().
SOCDEM (3.5%), KSČM (3.4%), Přísaha (2.8%), KDU-ČSL (2.5%), Zelení (2%), PRO (1.9%), Svobodní (1.6%) and Trikolóra (1.3%) fail to meet the percentage threshold and could not enter parliament.
0.2% would vote for another small party in current polls (Other).
Which polls were considered in the election trend?
For the election trend, polls from various polling institutes from the last 3 months were analyzed. These include polls from Median, Kantar and STEM, for example. The latest poll from each institute was considered, and then, taking into account various factors, it was recalculated into a weighted average. The election trend is therefore more robust against outliers from individual institutes and provides a quick overview of the political mood in the country.
Therefore, the will of at least 3113 individuals was considered in the polls of the election trend. Election polls are not predictions of the election outcome but reflect the current mood during the respective poll period.
What values do the small parties have?
Representative polls are subject to statistical fluctuations and have a margin of error of 1.5 to 3 percentage points. Some polling institutes only mention small parties with a value of 3% or higher. PolitPro does not conduct its own polls and therefore has no more detailed information about small parties. To calculate reliable values, parties are only considered in the election trend if they are explicitly listed in at least half of all polls.
Polls are usually a projection. This means that the raw data is modified by the institutes based on various criteria to come as close as possible to the possible outcome of an election. However, the exact calculation methods of the polling institutes are not publicly known.
Could the government stay in office?
Which parties would enter parliament?
In the current election trend, 6 parties could enter parliament: ANO 2011, ODS, Piráti, SPD, STAN and TOP 09 reach the necessary percentages to surpass the parliamentary threshold.
To calculate virtual seats, all parties in the election trend that achieve sufficient votes to surpass the parliamentary threshold are considered. Since polls only determine the voting intentions of parties, compensation and overhang mandates cannot be taken into account.
Are non-voters considered in the election trend?
Why does PolitPro show the political orientation of parties?
Current Election Trend for EU-Parliament
Latest polls for Czech Republic
What is the latest poll for Czech Republic?
Coalitions
Which coalitions are currently possible in Czech Republic?
Information on the Coalition Overview
The overview of possible coalitions for the election in Czech Republic shows the main coalition possibilities. The coalitions are calculated based on the virtual seats of the election trend. Only parties that surpass the percentage threshold with their votes are considered. A complete overview of coalition possibilities can be found through the link below.
The number on the right indicates how many percent of the virtual seats a coalition would reach. From 50% of the votes, a coalition has realistic chances of forming the government. The icon above a bar on the right indicates the political orientation of a coalition (Left, right, center).
Election trend by party at a glance
Party | 30 days | 3 months | 6 months | 12 months | Since election |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
ANO 2011 |
+1.2
|
+0.2
|
±0.0
|
+3.7
|
+7.5
|
ODS |
-0.1
|
+1.0
|
±0.0
|
-4.1
|
+13.5
|
Piráti |
-0.9
|
-0.7
|
±0.0
|
-0.1
|
+10.3
|
SPD |
-0.6
|
-1.1
|
±0.0
|
+0.2
|
-0.3
|
STAN |
+1.1
|
+1.1
|
±0.0
|
+0.9
|
+7.9
|
TOP 09 |
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
+0.2
|
+5.2
|
SOCDEM |
-0.3
|
-0.1
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
+3.5
|
KSČM |
-0.5
|
+0.8
|
±0.0
|
+0.6
|
-0.2
|
Přísaha |
-0.2
|
+0.3
|
±0.0
|
+0.3
|
-1.9
|
KDU-ČSL |
-0.7
|
+0.1
|
±0.0
|
-1.2
|
+2.5
|
Zelení |
+0.1
|
-0.6
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
+2.0
|
PRO |
±0.0
|
-0.2
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
+1.9
|
Svobodní |
-0.6
|
-0.4
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
+1.6
|
Trikolóra |
-0.1
|
-0.5
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
+1.3
|
Czech Republic — National parliament voting intention
Information on the Development of the Election Trend
Government and parliament
Which parties are in the parliament of Czech Republic?
In the parliament of Czech Republic, there are 200 representatives from 4 parties. 0 representatives are part of the government from . The opposition from SPOLU, ANO 2011, Piráti + STAN and SPD has 200 representatives.
37 of the representatives are politically more left-leaning, while 163 representatives are politically more right-leaning.
Who governs in Czech Republic?
Parliamentary election in Czech Republic 2025
The Parliamentary election in Czech Republic 2025 will probably take place in 2025. Once the results are in, the election results will be posted on this page.
Petr Fiala is currently governing with a Coalition of the center of ODS, Piráti, KDU-ČSL, TOP 09 and STAN. In the last Parliamentary election in Czech Republic in 2021, SPOLU (27.8% - 71 seats), ANO 2011 (27.1% - 72 seats), Piráti + STAN (15.6% - 37 seats) and SPD (9.6% - 20 seats) entered parliament. The turnout of that election was 65.4%.