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Malta: Polls and trends for the Maltese election 2027

Current Election Trend for Malta

PL
53.0
PN
42.2
ADPD
4.8
Development since the last election on 27.03.2022
Political orientation
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Malta is expected to take place in 2027.
Government could stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties receive 53.0% of the votes.

Who is leading in the election trend in Malta?

In the current election trend in Malta, PL leads with 53%. This is a loss of -2.1 percentage points since the last election.

PN reaches 42.2% and thus maintains the level of the last election (+0.5 percentage points).

ADPD lands at 4.8% and gains +3.2 percentage points since the last election.

0% would vote for another small party in current polls (Other).

Which polls were considered in the election trend?

For the election trend, polls from various polling institutes from the last 3 months were analyzed. The latest poll from each institute was considered, and then, taking into account various factors, it was recalculated into a weighted average. The election trend is therefore more robust against outliers from individual institutes and provides a quick overview of the political mood in the country.

What values do the small parties have?

Representative polls are subject to statistical fluctuations and have a margin of error of 1.5 to 3 percentage points. Some polling institutes only mention small parties with a value of 3% or higher. PolitPro does not conduct its own polls and therefore has no more detailed information about small parties. To calculate reliable values, parties are only considered in the election trend if they are explicitly listed in at least half of all polls.

Polls are usually a projection. This means that the raw data is modified by the institutes based on various criteria to come as close as possible to the possible outcome of an election. However, the exact calculation methods of the polling institutes are not publicly known.

Could the government stay in office?

If there were an election this Sunday in Malta, the government from PL would secure 53% of the virtual seats. The government could thus remain in office.

Which parties would enter parliament?

In the current election trend, 3 parties could enter parliament: PL, PN and ADPD reach the necessary percentages to surpass the parliamentary threshold.

To calculate virtual seats, all parties in the election trend that achieve sufficient votes to surpass the parliamentary threshold are considered. Since polls only determine the voting intentions of parties, compensation and overhang mandates cannot be taken into account.

Are non-voters considered in the election trend?

When presenting election polls and results, non-voters are not considered: the votes cast for a party are calculated in relation to the number of valid second votes cast. Non-voters as well as invalid votes (including blank votes) are ignored. For comparison: In the last election, the voter turnout was 85.6% - 14.4% of the eligible population were non-voters or cast invalid votes.

Why does PolitPro show the political orientation of parties?

To make parties comparable across borders and provide a quick overview of political events, we show the rough political orientation of parties. These are rough categorizations and can never capture all the positions of the parties. The respective election programs of the parties provide a complete overview of their positions.

Latest polls for Malta

Sagalytics
· 4 months ago
4 months ago
Open Details
53
42.2
4.8
MaltaToday
· 6 months ago
6 months ago
Open Details
47.3
43.1
9.6
Esprimi
· 7 months ago
7 months ago
Open Details
50
44.8
5.2

What is the latest poll for Malta?

The latest poll for the election in Malta was published by Sagalytics. The parties achieve the following values: PL 53%, PN 42.2% and ADPD 4.8%.

Coalitions

67
PL
36
ADPD
3
PN
28
Majority requires 34 seats
PL
36
PN + ADPD
31
ADPD
3

Which coalitions are currently possible in Malta?

In current election polls, various coalitions would be possible: Coalition from PL each achieve a majority in parliament.

Information on the Coalition Overview

The overview of possible coalitions for the election in Malta shows the main coalition possibilities. The coalitions are calculated based on the virtual seats of the election trend. Only parties that surpass the percentage threshold with their votes are considered. A complete overview of coalition possibilities can be found through the link below.

The number on the right indicates how many percent of the virtual seats a coalition would reach. From 50% of the votes, a coalition has realistic chances of forming the government. The icon above a bar on the right indicates the political orientation of a coalition (Left, right, center).

Election trend by party at a glance

Party 30 days 3 months 6 months 12 months Since election
PL
PN
ADPD

Malta — National parliament voting intention

Information on the Development of the Election Trend

The line chart provides an overview of the development of the election trend in Malta in recent years. For this, the current election trend is recorded as a data point every Sunday and added to the chart. The course of the poll values can reveal short-term and long-term trends in polls and election polls. The last election in Malta took place on 27.03.2022.

Government and parliament

Robert Abela
Head of government
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament : 67
Government & opposition
Government : 38
Opposition : 29
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties : 38
Right-leaning parties : 29

Which parties are in the parliament of Malta?

In the parliament of Malta, there are 67 representatives from 2 parties. 38 representatives are part of the government from PL. The opposition from PN has 29 representatives.

38 of the representatives are politically more left-leaning, while 29 representatives are politically more right-leaning.

Who governs in Malta?

Robert Abela governs in Malta with a coalition of PL.

Parliamentary election in Malta 2027

The Parliamentary election in Malta 2027 will probably take place in 2027. Once the results are in, the election results will be posted on this page.

Robert Abela is currently governing with a Coalition of the center of PL. In the last Parliamentary election in Malta in 2022, PL (55.1% - 38 seats) and PN (41.7% - 29 seats) entered parliament. The turnout of that election was 85.6%.

FAQ

When is the next election in Malta?

The next election in Malta is expected to take place in the year 2027.

Who is the president of Malta?

The head of state of Malta is Robert Abela.

Who governs in Malta?

Robert Abela governs in Malta with a coalition of PL.

What is the latest poll for Malta?

The latest poll for the election in Malta was published by Sagalytics. The parties achieve the following values: PL 53%, PN 42.2% and ADPD 4.8%.

Which parties are in the parliament of Malta?

In the parliament of Malta, there are 67 representatives from 2 parties. 38 representatives are part of the government from PL. The opposition from PN has 29 representatives.