Current Poll Trend for Malta

Next General Election in Malta: 2031

The next General Election in Malta is expected in 2031.

Who is leading in the PolitPro Poll Trend for Malta?

The frontrunner in the current PolitPro Poll Trend for the Maltese election is PL with 51.8%. This is followed by PN: 44.7%. Other parties secure 3.5% of the votes.

Data Analysis: How we calculate the PolitPro Poll Trend

The PolitPro Poll Trend is more than just a snapshot. We aggregate data from all relevant polling institutes into a weighted average for the Maltese election. Since the classic hypothetical election question ('Who would you vote for if an election were held next Sunday?'] inherently fluctuates due to methodology, our poll trend provides a statistically robust data basis. It smooths out short-term outliers and reveals the real political dynamics over time.

By combining multiple data sources, we minimize the risk of random effects. Each survey is subject to a statistical margin of error (usually between 1.5% and 3%]. Our poll check for Malta precisely indicates whether a party's gain represents a sustainable development or merely falls within the statistical uncertainty of a single institute.

The calculation follows a transparent mathematical model: Current polls receive a higher weighting than older data. Furthermore, the historical predictive accuracy of the institutes is incorporated into the calculation to compensate for methodological biases. The result is a valid trend line that accurately reflects the party system of Malta.

Possible Coalitions & Alliances

Malta utilizes the Single Transferable Vote (STV) preferential voting system. Voters rank individual candidates by preference. As polls typically only capture party support, a realistic seat distribution cannot be calculated.

Latest Polls at a Glance

Poll Trend History: Developments in Malta

PolitPro Analysis
What's currently driving the national conversation?

Economy & Economic Trends

Malta is defying the European trend: With an inflation rate of 2.1% in May 2026, the island nation remains significantly...

Migration & Identity

Malta is grappling with new EU border checks causing chaos at the airport, alongside a heated national debate about identity...

Geopolitics & Alliances

Malta is actively positioning itself within a complex geopolitical landscape. This week, Foreign Minister Chris Fearne reaffirmed the EU's sanctions...

Government Stability & Political Culture

Malta is grappling with a profound crisis of trust in its political culture, as the murder trial of businessman Yorgen...

Energy, Climate & Infrastructure

Malta is currently strengthening its energy infrastructure: Drilling for the second electricity interconnector to Sicily, a 300-million-euro project, began on...

Social Cohesion & Intergenerational Issues

Malta is navigating a period of demographic upheaval that challenges social harmony. Rapid population growth, driven by labor migration, is...

How Current Politics Shapes People's Lives

Youth, Apprentices & Students

Even with a record 15 percent increase in student stipends, young people, apprentices, and students in Malta are struggling with...

Families

Malta's social housing crisis is worsening dramatically: Over 1,890 families are waiting for housing in June 2026, while the poorest...

Retirees & Seniors

Malta's retirees are set to benefit from a sweeping reform: their pensions are now effectively 100% tax-exempt, a key feature...

The Workforce

Malta's housing market is spiraling: The waiting list for social housing reached 1,890 families in June 2026, while property prices...

Entrepreneurs & Business Owners

Malta's booming short-term rental market is facing a significant change: New "Tourism Accommodation Regulations 2026" now require mandatory licensing by...

LGBTQ+ & Minorities

Despite Malta's reputation as Europe's most LGBTQ+-friendly country, achieving true equality in daily life remains a challenge for many. A...

Immigrants & Expats

Malta's job market is closing its doors to unprepared non-EU citizens. Starting July 2026, all first-time applicants for a single...

Latest Election Results

Composition of the Current Government

Robert Abela
Prime Minister

PL

Labour Party
Centre-Left
Pro EU

Key Parties in Malta

Polling Institutes in Malta

Election Accuracy
Highly Accurate
Low Accuracy

80
MaltaToday

Latest Poll: 2 months ago

78
Esprimi

Latest Poll: 2 months ago

76
Sagalytics

Latest Poll: 2 months ago

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score assesses polling reliability based on election accuracy and deviations from the overall trend. Significant outliers in party values lead to deductions, as they may indicate systematic over- or under-representation. The maximum score is 100.

Political System & Democracy in Malta

Flawed Democracy

While free elections exist, government oversight and the rule of law are limited.

+1

Trend: Stable

Over the past decade, the democracy score has remained stable.

What is the PolitPro Democracy Score?

The PolitPro Democracy Score evaluates various aspects of democratic quality based on data from the Varieties of Democracy (V-Dem) project. This international research initiative is led by the University of Gothenburg (Sweden) and the University of Notre Dame (USA). Over 3,500 experts assess countries according to standardized scientific criteria. PolitPro aggregates and contextualizes this data to provide an understandable and comparable overview. The score ranges from 0 to 100.

Electoral Law & Electoral System in Malta

Parliamentary Republic

The parliament elects the government; the president holds primarily ceremonial duties.

Electoral System

Voters rank candidates in order of preference.

Post-Election Analysis

Following the election and the vote count, which is closely watched in Malta due to its Single Transferable Vote (STV) system, the Prime Minister is usually appointed immediately after the majority is determined. The new Parliament convenes for its inaugural session to elect the Speaker. A crucial step is the swearing-in of Members of Parliament (MPs). Should seat correction mechanisms (such as the gender quota or proportionality bonus) be activated, additional MPs are determined only after the official election results, which can slightly alter the final size of Parliament.

Demographics of the Electorate

Malta boasts one of the highest voter turnouts globally, regularly exceeding 90%, which reflects the immense importance of politics in citizens' daily lives. All Maltese citizens aged 16 and over are eligible to vote, making Malta one of Europe's most progressive electoral systems. Political identity is often shaped by family tradition and is remarkably stable. Also unique is the absence of postal voting; Maltese citizens residing abroad must physically travel to Malta to cast their ballot, with the government often organizing subsidized flights for voters.

European Union

Europe's union of states, characterized by common laws, a single market, and shared democratic standards.

NATO

A military defense alliance uniting countries across Europe and North America.

OSCE

An organization dedicated to fostering peace, security, and human rights across Europe.

FAQ - Frequently Asked Questions

When is the next election in Malta?

The next General Election in Malta is expected in 2031. Until then, current election polls serve as the primary barometer for the political climate in Malta.

Data Sources and Methodology

PolitPro

PolitPro bridges the gap between scientific research and current polling. We supplement leading datasets with our own proprietary research and algorithms to make complex political contexts tangible and accessible. Powered by AI.

Help Us Stay Independent

Your support helps shield PolitPro from the influence of lobbyists and political parties.

Give Feedback

Tell us how we can make PolitPro even better for you!

Found a Mistake?

Political data is constantly evolving. If you spot an error, please let us know. A brief reference to your source will help us verify and update the information.

V-Dem – Varieties of Democracy

A global research project from the University of Gothenburg. Independent experts worldwide assess political systems and democracy levels based on scientific criteria.

Additional Sources

Coppedge, Michael, John Gerring, Carl Henrik Knutsen, Staffan I. Lindberg, Jan Teorell, David Altman, Fabio Angiolillo, Michael Bernhard, Agnes Cornell, M. Steven Fish, Linnea Fox, Lisa Gastaldi, Haakon Gjerløw, Adam Glynn, Ana Good God, Allen Hicken, Katrin Kinzelbach, Kyle L. Marquardt, Kelly McMann, Valeriya Mechkova, Anja Neundorf, Pamela Paxton, Daniel Pemstein, Josefine Pernes, Johannes von Römer, Brigitte Seim, Rachel Sigman, Svend-Erik Skaaning, Jeffrey Staton, Aksel Sundström, Marcus Tannenberg, Eitan Tzelgov, Yi-ting Wang, Tore Wig, and Daniel Ziblatt. 2026. "V-Dem Codebook v16" Varieties of Democracy (V-Dem) Project.

V-Party – Parties of the World Dataset

A specialized project by the University of Gothenburg, where international political scientists evaluate the fundamental identities and organizations of parties worldwide.

Additional Sources

Lindberg, Staffan I., et al. 2022. "Varieties of Party Identity and Organization (V–Party) Dataset V2."

ParlGov – Parliamentary Democracy Data

A comprehensive research database from the University of Bremen, documenting parties, elections, and governments for comparative analysis.

Additional Sources

Döring, Holger and Philip Manow. 2024. Parliaments and governments database (ParlGov).

CHES – Chapel Hill Expert Survey

The leading expert survey on party positions in Europe. Over 400 political scientists document party stances based on rigorous scientific criteria.

Additional Sources

Rovny, Jan, et al. “25 Years of Political Party Positions in Europe: The Chapel Hill Expert Survey, 1999-2024.”