Election trends and current polls for France
PolitPro Election Trend
The current PolitPro election trend for the next parliamentary elections
Changes to last election from 11.06.2017
LREM
-2.3
LR
-5.8
RN
+13.6
FI
-0.2
PS
-3.2
EELV
+3.1
LP
+1.6
PCF
-0.2
Agir–UDI
-1.9
DLF
+4.2
UPR
+1.3
LO
+0.7
G·s
+2.2
Political orientation
LREM
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LR
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RN
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FI
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PS
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EELV
nature
LP
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PCF
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Agir–UDI
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DLF
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UPR
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LO
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G·s
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The artificial intelligence (AI) of PolitPro analyzes and evaluates current election polls of leading opinion research institutes. In the election trend, it calculates an intelligently weighted average of the values of current Sunday questions. For the calculation always the last values of an institute are used, taking into account the time dependencies as well as different qualitative and quantitative weightings.
The aim of the AI is to get a quick and uncomplicated overview of current political trends.
The displayed change of values always refers to the period of the last 7 days.
Latest polls
Current Sunday questions from leading opinion research institutes
Data source: EOPAOD
Coalition possibilities
Possible coalitions based on the current PolitPro election trend
Whole Parliament
LREM + FI + EELV + PS + PCF + G·s
53%
RN + LREM
52.7%
LREM + LR + EELV + DLF + LP + UPR + Agir–UDI
52.7%
LREM + FI + EELV + PS + G·s + UPR + LO
52.5%
RN + LR + EELV + DLF + LP + UPR
52.5%
RN + LR + EELV + DLF + LP + Agir–UDI
52.3%
LREM + FI + EELV + PS + PCF + UPR
52.1%
RN + LR + EELV + DLF + UPR + Agir–UDI
52%
LREM + FI + EELV + PS + G·s + UPR
51.8%
LREM + LR + EELV + DLF + LP + UPR
51.6%
LREM + FI + EELV + PS + PCF + LO
51.5%
LREM + LR + EELV + DLF + LP + Agir–UDI
51.4%
LREM + FI + EELV + PS + G·s + LO
51.2%
RN + LR + EELV + DLF + LP
51.2%
LREM + LR + EELV + DLF + UPR + Agir–UDI
51.1%
RN + LR + EELV + DLF + UPR
50.9%
LREM + FI + EELV + PS + PCF
50.8%
LREM + FI + EELV + PCF + G·s + UPR + LO
50.8%
RN + LR + EELV + DLF + Agir–UDI
50.7%
LREM + FI + EELV + PS + G·s
50.5%
LREM + FI + EELV + PS + UPR + LO
50.3%
LREM + LR + EELV + DLF + LP
50.3%
LREM + FI + EELV + PCF + G·s + UPR
50.1%
LREM + LR + EELV + DLF + UPR
50%
LREM + LR + EELV + PS + UPR + Agir–UDI
49.9%
LREM + LR + EELV + DLF + Agir–UDI
49.8%
LREM + FI + EELV + PS + UPR
49.6%
RN + LR + EELV + DLF
49.6%
LREM + FI + EELV + PCF + G·s + LO
49.5%
LREM + FI + EELV + PS + LO
49%
LREM + FI + EELV + PCF + G·s
48.8%
LREM + LR + EELV + PS + UPR
48.8%
LREM + LR + EELV + DLF
48.7%
LREM + FI + EELV + PCF + UPR + LO
48.6%
LREM + LR + EELV + PS + Agir–UDI
48.6%
LREM + FI + EELV + G·s + UPR + LO
48.3%
LREM + FI + EELV + PS
48.3%
RN + LR + EELV + LP + UPR + Agir–UDI
48.2%
LREM + FI + EELV + PCF + UPR
47.9%
LREM + FI + PS + PCF + G·s + UPR + LO
47.6%
LREM + FI + EELV + G·s + UPR
47.6%
LREM + LR + EELV + PS
47.5%
LREM + FI + EELV + PCF + LO
47.3%
LREM + LR + EELV + LP + UPR + Agir–UDI
47.3%
RN + LR + EELV + LP + UPR
47.1%
LREM + FI + EELV + G·s + LO
47%
LREM + FI + PS + PCF + G·s + UPR
46.9%
RN + LR + EELV + LP + Agir–UDI
46.9%
LREM + FI + EELV + PCF
46.6%
RN + LR + EELV + UPR + Agir–UDI
46.6%
LREM + FI + PS + PCF + G·s + LO
46.3%
LREM + FI + EELV + G·s
46.3%
LREM + LR + EELV + LP + UPR
46.2%
RN + LR + DLF + LP + UPR + Agir–UDI
46.2%
LREM + FI + EELV + UPR + LO
46.1%
LREM + LR + EELV + LP + Agir–UDI
46%
RN + LR + EELV + LP
45.8%
LREM + LR + EELV + UPR + Agir–UDI
45.7%
LREM + FI + PS + PCF + G·s
45.6%
RN + LR + EELV + UPR
45.5%
LREM + FI + PS + PCF + UPR + LO
45.4%
LREM + FI + EELV + UPR
45.4%
LREM + LR + DLF + LP + UPR + Agir–UDI
45.3%
RN + LR + EELV + Agir–UDI
45.3%
LREM + FI + PS + G·s + UPR + LO
45.1%
RN + LR + DLF + LP + UPR
45.1%
The coalitions are determined on the basis of a percentage distribution of seats of all parties represented in parliament. Possible overhang or compensation mandates are not taken into account.
The blocking clause is 0%.
Development of the election trend
The development of all parties since January 2018
LREM
LR
RN
FI
PS
EELV
Agir–UDI
DLF
G·s
LO
LP
PCF
UPR
R!
NPA
Last election
The results of the last election from 11.06.2017
Seats
| Party | Percent | Seats | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| République en marche | 28.2% | 28.2% | 308 | 308 |
| Les Républicains | 15.8% | -11.3% | 112 | -82 |
| Mouvement démocrate | 4.1% | 2.3% | 42 | 40 |
| Parti socialiste | 7.4% | -22% | 30 | -250 |
| Agir | 3.0% | 3% | 18 | 18 |
| La France insoumise | 11.0% | 11% | 17 | 17 |
| Parti communiste français | 2.7% | 2.7% | 10 | 10 |
| Divers gauche | 1.6% | -1.8% | 10 | -12 |
| Rassemblement national | 13.2% | -0.4% | 6 | 4 |
| Divers droite | 2.8% | -0.7% | 6 | -9 |
| Les partis régionaux | 0.9% | 0.3% | 5 | 3 |
| Parti radical de gauche | 0.5% | -1.2% | 3 | -9 |
| Les Verts | 4.3% | -1.2% | 1 | -16 |
| Debout la France | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1 | 1 |
| Extreme droite | 0.3% | 0.1% | 1 | 0 |
| Sonstige | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0 | 0 |
| Extrême gauche | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0 | 0 |
In the last election of the 11.06.2017 570 representatives from 15 parliamentary groups were elected to the parliament. The next election is scheduled for the year 2022.