Who is leading the election trend?
In the current election trend for the Parliamentary Election in France, Rassemblement national is leading with 29.2%, followed by NFP with 28%, Ensemble with 20%, Les Républicains with 6.6%, Extreme droite with 3.9%, Divers droite with 3.7%, Divers gauche with 1.5%, Divers centre with 1.2%, Extrême gauche with 1.1%, Regionalists with 1%, Reconquête with 0.7% and UDI with 0.5%. Other parties reach 2.6%.
Next election: 2029
The next parliamentary election in France is expected to take place in 2029.
Government might not stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties receive 33.4% of the votes.
Development since the last election on 30.06.2024
What do the symbols mean?
Far left
Left-wing
Centre-left
Center
Centre-right
Right-wing
Far right
Transversal
Liberal politics
Environment & Climate
Animal Protection
Satire
Regional interests
Unknown
Coalitions
Who could enter parliament?
In the current election trend, 10 parties could enter parliament: NFP reaches 178 MPs, Divers gauche reaches 12 MPs, Divers centre reaches 6 MPs, Ensemble reaches 150 MPs, Regionalists reaches 9 MPs, Les Républicains reaches 39 MPs, UDI reaches 3 MPs, Rassemblement national reaches 125 MPs, Divers droite reaches 27 MPs and Extreme droite reaches 17 MPs.
No restrictive clause
The restrictive clause is 0%.
Majority from 284 MPs
To form a government, 284 of 566 MPs are required.
NFP + Ensemble
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Les Républicains
NFP + Rassemblement national
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Divers droite
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Extreme droite
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Divers gauche
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Regionalists
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Divers centre
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + UDI
Ensemble + Les Républicains
566
Majority requires 284 seats
NFP
178
31.4%
DVG
12
2.1%
DVC
6
1.1%
EN
150
26.5%
Regio.
9
1.6%
LR
39
6.9%
UDI
3
0.5%
RN
125
22.1%
DVD
27
4.8%
EXD
17
3%
Latest polls for France
France — National parliament voting intention
Parties in France
Election trend by party at a glance
| Party | 30 days | 3 months | 6 months | 12 months | Since election |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rassemblement national |
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
+1.2
|
±0.0
|
| NFP |
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
| Ensemble |
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
+3.0
|
±0.0
|
| Les Républicains |
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
-1.4
|
±0.0
|
| Extreme droite |
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
| Divers droite |
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
| Divers gauche |
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
| Divers centre |
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
| Extrême gauche |
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
| Regionalists |
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
| Reconquête |
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
-5.8
|
±0.0
|
| UDI |
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
Government and parliament
Emmanuel Macron
Head of state
François Bayrou
Head of government
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament
: 577
Government & opposition
Government
: 189
Opposition
: 388
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties
: 190
Right-leaning parties
: 211
Most Reliable Polling Institutes in France
| Score | Institute | Accuracy | Neutrality |
|---|---|---|---|
|
65
|
2.0
|
bad
| |
|
63
|
2.3
|
good
| |
|
60
|
1.7
|
unknown
| |
|
60
|
2.1
|
very good
| |
|
55
|
2.1
|
unknown
| |
| More Institutes |
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.