Denmark: Polls and trends for the Danish election 2026

Current Election Trend for Denmark

A
22.0
I
14.2
F
13.7
V
10.2
Æ
8.8
Ø
7.4
M
7.2
C
5.1
B
4.6
O
4.3
Å
1.8
Sonst.
0.7
Next election: 2026
The next parliamentary election in Denmark is expected to take place in 2026.
Government might not stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties receive 40.5% of the votes.

Who is leading in the election trend in Denmark?

In the current election trend in Denmark, Socialdemokraterne leads with 22%. This is a significant loss of -5.5 percentage points since the last election.

Liberal Alliance reaches 14.2%. This is a significant increase of +6.3 percentage points since the last election.

Socialistisk Folkeparti reaches 13.7%. This is a significant increase of +5.4 percentage points since the last election.

Venstre experiences slight losses compared to the last election and lands at 10.2% (-3.1).

Danmarksdemokraterne reaches 8.8% and thus maintains the level of the last election (+0.7 percentage points).

De Rød-Grønne lands at 7.4% and gains +2.2 percentage points since the last election.

Moderaterne experiences slight losses compared to the last election and lands at 7.2% (-2.1).

Konservative Folkeparti reaches 5.1% and thus maintains the level of the last election (-0.4 percentage points).

Radikale Venstre reaches 4.6% and thus maintains the level of the last election (+0.8 percentage points).

Dansk Folkeparti lands at 4.3% and gains +1.7 percentage points since the last election.

Alternativet (1.8%) fail to meet the percentage threshold and could not enter parliament.

0.7% would vote for another small party in current polls (Other).

Which polls were considered in the election trend?

For the election trend, polls from various polling institutes from the last 3 months were analyzed. These include polls from Voxmeter, Verian for Berlingske and Epinion, for example. The latest poll from each institute was considered, and then, taking into account various factors, it was recalculated into a weighted average. The election trend is therefore more robust against outliers from individual institutes and provides a quick overview of the political mood in the country.

Therefore, the will of at least 4244 individuals was considered in the polls of the election trend. Election polls are not predictions of the election outcome but reflect the current mood during the respective poll period.

What values do the small parties have?

Representative polls are subject to statistical fluctuations and have a margin of error of 1.5 to 3 percentage points. Some polling institutes only mention small parties with a value of 3% or higher. PolitPro does not conduct its own polls and therefore has no more detailed information about small parties. To calculate reliable values, parties are only considered in the election trend if they are explicitly listed in at least half of all polls.

Polls are usually a projection. This means that the raw data is modified by the institutes based on various criteria to come as close as possible to the possible outcome of an election. However, the exact calculation methods of the polling institutes are not publicly known.

Could the government stay in office?

If there were an election this Sunday in Denmark, the government from Socialdemokraterne, Venstre and Moderaterne would secure 40.5% of the virtual seats. The government could thus not remain in office.

Which parties would enter parliament?

In the current election trend, 10 parties could enter parliament: Socialdemokraterne, Liberal Alliance, Socialistisk Folkeparti, Venstre, Danmarksdemokraterne, De Rød-Grønne, Moderaterne, Konservative Folkeparti, Radikale Venstre and Dansk Folkeparti reach the necessary percentages to surpass the parliamentary threshold.

To calculate virtual seats, all parties in the election trend that achieve sufficient votes to surpass the parliamentary threshold are considered. Since polls only determine the voting intentions of parties, compensation and overhang mandates cannot be taken into account.

Are non-voters considered in the election trend?

When presenting election polls and results, non-voters are not considered: the votes cast for a party are calculated in relation to the number of valid second votes cast. Non-voters as well as invalid votes (including blank votes) are ignored. For comparison: In the last election, the voter turnout was 84.1% - 15.9% of the eligible population were non-voters or cast invalid votes.

Why does PolitPro show the political orientation of parties?

To make parties comparable across borders and provide a quick overview of political events, we show the rough political orientation of parties. These are rough categorizations and can never capture all the positions of the parties. The respective election programs of the parties provide a complete overview of their positions.

Current Election Trend for EU-Parliament

Denmark
· 15 / 720 seats
EU-Parliament
22
12
11
10
9
7
7
7
6
6
1

Latest polls for Denmark

Voxmeter
· 5 days ago
5 days ago
Open Details
22.2
14.4
13.9
10.5
8
7.8
7.1
5
4.7
4.2
1.8
0.4
Voxmeter
· 1 week ago
1 week ago
Open Details
22.9
15.3
13.2
10
7.6
7.5
7.4
4.8
4.5
4
1.6
1.2
Verian
· 2 weeks ago
2 weeks ago
Open Details
21.5
13.5
13.3
10
9.5
7.9
6.5
5.2
4.6
4.5
1.9
1.6

What is the latest poll for Denmark?

The latest poll for the election in Denmark was published by Voxmeter. The parties achieve the following values: Socialdemokraterne 22.2%, Liberal Alliance 14.4%, Socialistisk Folkeparti 13.9%, Venstre 10.5%, Danmarksdemokraterne 8%, Moderaterne 7.8%, De Rød-Grønne 7.1%, Konservative Folkeparti 5%, Radikale Venstre 4.7%, Dansk Folkeparti 4.2% and Alternativet 1.8%.

Coalitions

Socialdemokraterne + Liberal Alliance + Venstre + Moderaterne
Socialdemokraterne + Liberal Alliance + Moderaterne + Konservative Folkeparti + Radikale Venstre
Socialdemokraterne + Liberal Alliance + Venstre + Konservative Folkeparti
Socialdemokraterne + Liberal Alliance + Venstre + Radikale Venstre
Socialdemokraterne + Socialistisk Folkeparti + De Rød-Grønne + Moderaterne
Socialdemokraterne + Venstre + Moderaterne + Konservative Folkeparti + Radikale Venstre
Socialdemokraterne + Liberal Alliance + Moderaterne + Konservative Folkeparti
Socialdemokraterne + Liberal Alliance + Moderaterne + Radikale Venstre
Socialdemokraterne + Socialistisk Folkeparti + De Rød-Grønne + Radikale Venstre
Socialdemokraterne + Venstre + Moderaterne
40.5
Show more

Which coalitions are currently possible in Denmark?

In current election polls, various coalitions would be possible: Coalition from Socialdemokraterne, Liberal Alliance, Venstre and Moderaterne, Coalition from Socialdemokraterne, Liberal Alliance, Moderaterne, Konservative Folkeparti and Radikale Venstre, Coalition from Socialdemokraterne, Liberal Alliance, Venstre and Konservative Folkeparti, Coalition from Socialdemokraterne, Liberal Alliance, Venstre and Radikale Venstre, Coalition from Socialdemokraterne, Socialistisk Folkeparti, De Rød-Grønne and Moderaterne and Coalition from Socialdemokraterne, Venstre, Moderaterne, Konservative Folkeparti and Radikale Venstre each achieve a majority in parliament.

Information on the Coalition Overview

The overview of possible coalitions for the election in Denmark shows the main coalition possibilities. The coalitions are calculated based on the virtual seats of the election trend. Only parties that surpass the percentage threshold with their votes are considered. A complete overview of coalition possibilities can be found through the link below.

The number on the right indicates how many percent of the virtual seats a coalition would reach. From 50% of the votes, a coalition has realistic chances of forming the government. The icon above a bar on the right indicates the political orientation of a coalition (Left, right, center).

Election trend by party at a glance

On the rise: Socialistisk Folkeparti
+1.2 growth in the last 30 days
Trending down: De Rød-Grønne
-1.3 loss in the last 30 days
Party 30 days 3 months 6 months 12 months Since election
Socialdemokraterne
Liberal Alliance
Socialistisk Folkeparti
Venstre
Danmarksdemokraterne
De Rød-Grønne
Moderaterne
Konservative Folkeparti
Radikale Venstre
Dansk Folkeparti
Alternativet
Show more

Denmark — National parliament voting intention

A V O B F Ø C Å I Æ M Sonst. D Q K G P E

Information on the Development of the Election Trend

The line chart provides an overview of the development of the election trend in Denmark in recent years. For this, the current election trend is recorded as a data point every Sunday and added to the chart. The course of the poll values can reveal short-term and long-term trends in polls and election polls. The last election in Denmark took place on 01.11.2022.

Government and parliament

Frederik X
Head of state
Mette Frederiksen
Head of government
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament : 179
Government & opposition
Government : 89
Opposition : 90
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties : 87
Right-leaning parties : 72

Which parties are in the parliament of Denmark?

In the parliament of Denmark, there are 179 representatives from 13 parties. 89 representatives are part of the government from Socialdemokraterne, Venstre and Moderaterne. The opposition from Socialistisk Folkeparti, Danmarksdemokraterne, Liberal Alliance, Konservative Folkeparti, De Rød-Grønne, Radikale Venstre, Nye Borgerlige, Alternativet, Dansk Folkeparti and Sonstige Parteien has 90 representatives.

87 of the representatives are politically more left-leaning, while 72 representatives are politically more right-leaning.

Who governs in Denmark?

Mette Frederiksen governs in Denmark with a coalition of Socialdemokraterne, Venstre and Moderaterne. The head of state is Frederik X.

Parliamentary election in Denmark 2026

The Parliamentary election in Denmark 2026 will probably take place in 2026. Once the results are in, the election results will be posted on this page.

Mette Frederiksen is currently governing with a Coalition of the center of Socialdemokraterne, Venstre and Moderaterne. In the last Parliamentary election in Denmark in 2022, Socialdemokraterne (27.5% - 50 seats), Venstre (13.3% - 23 seats), Moderaterne (9.3% - 16 seats), Socialistisk Folkeparti (8.3% - 15 seats), Danmarksdemokraterne (8.1% - 14 seats), Liberal Alliance (7.9% - 14 seats), Konservative Folkeparti (5.5% - 10 seats), De Rød-Grønne (5.2% - 9 seats), Radikale Venstre (3.8% - 7 seats), Nye Borgerlige (3.7% - 6 seats), Alternativet (3.3% - 6 seats), Dansk Folkeparti (2.6% - 5 seats) and Sonstige Parteien (0.1% - 4 seats) entered parliament. The turnout of that election was 84.1%.

FAQ

When is the next election in Denmark?

The next election in Denmark is expected to take place in the year 2026.

Who is the president of Denmark?

The head of state of Denmark is Frederik X.

Who governs in Denmark?

Mette Frederiksen governs in Denmark with a coalition of Socialdemokraterne, Venstre and Moderaterne.

What is the electoral threshold in Denmark?

The electoral threshold in Denmark is 2% or one constituency mandate.

What is the latest poll for Denmark?

The latest poll for the election in Denmark was published by Voxmeter. The parties achieve the following values: Socialdemokraterne 22.2%, Liberal Alliance 14.4%, Socialistisk Folkeparti 13.9%, Venstre 10.5%, Danmarksdemokraterne 8%, Moderaterne 7.8%, De Rød-Grønne 7.1%, Konservative Folkeparti 5%, Radikale Venstre 4.7%, Dansk Folkeparti 4.2% and Alternativet 1.8%.

Which parties are in the parliament of Denmark?

In the parliament of Denmark, there are 179 representatives from 13 parties. 89 representatives are part of the government from Socialdemokraterne, Venstre and Moderaterne. The opposition from Socialistisk Folkeparti, Danmarksdemokraterne, Liberal Alliance, Konservative Folkeparti, De Rød-Grønne, Radikale Venstre, Nye Borgerlige, Alternativet, Dansk Folkeparti and Sonstige Parteien has 90 representatives.