Bulgaria
Election trend
Parties

Bulgaria: Poll by Market from 27.05.2021

Polling data

GERB
21.0
±0.0
ITN
17.6
±0.0
BSP
17.1
±0.0
DB
11.8
±0.0
DPS
9.4
±0.0
IS.BG
4.2
±0.0
VMRO
2.9
±0.0
Volya
1.2
±0.0
Sonst.
14.8
±0.0
Development since the last election on 02.04.2023
GERB
-4.4
ITN
+13.7
BSP
+8.5
DB
DPS
-3.8
IS.BG
VMRO
Volya
Market – 1067 respondents – 19.05.2021-27.05.2021
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Bulgaria is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Bulgaria - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Bulgaria from Market shows the following results: GERB 21%, ITN 17.6%, BSP 17.1%, DB 11.8%, DPS 9.4%, IS.BG 4.2%, VMRO 2.9% and Volya 1.2%. If an election were held in Bulgaria this Sunday, ITN might gain the most in voter favorability with +13.7 growth since the last election. GERB, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-4.4) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Galab Donev is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from GERB, DB and PP. With 40.4% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Market. For this purpose, 1067 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 8 days (19.05.2021 - 27.05.2021).

Coalition possibilities

240
IS.BG
12
BSP
51
ITN
52
DPS
28
GERB
62
DB
35
Majority requires 121 seats
GERB + ITN + BSP
165
GERB + ITN + DB
149
GERB + BSP + DB
148
GERB + ITN + DPS
142
GERB + BSP + DPS
141
ITN + BSP + DPS
131
BSP + DB + DPS + IS.BG
126
GERB + BSP + IS.BG
125
GERB + DB + DPS
125

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Bulgaria was conducted by Market. The survey took place between 19.05.2021 and 27.05.2021 among 1067 eligible voters. After this election poll would get GERB 21%, ITN 17.6%, BSP 17.1%, DB 11.8%, DPS 9.4%, IS.BG 4.2%, VMRO 2.9% and Volya 1.2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.