Bulgaria
Election trend
Parties

Bulgaria: Poll by Sova Harris from 02.11.2021

Polling data

GERB
23.8
-6.9
BSP
16.7
-7.2
PP
15.6
+15.6
ITN
13.4
+1.5
DPS
9.7
-1.8
DB
9.1
+3.5
IS.BG
4.1
-0.6
Volya
2.5
+0.1
VMRO
2.1
-2.6
Sonst.
3.0
-1.6
Development since the last election on 02.04.2023
GERB
-1.6
BSP
+8.1
PP
ITN
+9.5
DPS
-3.5
DB
IS.BG
Volya
VMRO
Sova Harris – 1000 respondents – 28.10.2021-02.11.2021
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Bulgaria is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Bulgaria - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Bulgaria from Sova Harris shows the following results: GERB 23.8%, BSP 16.7%, PP 15.6%, ITN 13.4%, DPS 9.7%, DB 9.1%, IS.BG 4.1%, Volya 2.5% and VMRO 2.1%. If an election were held in Bulgaria this Sunday, ITN might gain the most in voter favorability with +9.5 growth since the last election. DPS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Galab Donev is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from GERB, DB and PP. With 52.5% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Sova Harris. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (28.10.2021 - 02.11.2021).

Coalition possibilities

240
IS.BG
10
BSP
44
PP
41
ITN
35
DPS
25
GERB
62
DB
23
Majority requires 121 seats
GERB + BSP + PP
147
GERB + BSP + ITN
141
GERB + PP + ITN
138
BSP + PP + DPS + DB
133
GERB + BSP + DPS
131
GERB + BSP + DB
129
GERB + PP + DPS
128
GERB + PP + DB
126
PP + ITN + DPS + DB
124
GERB + ITN + DPS
122
GERB + DPS + DB + IS.BG
120
GERB + ITN + DB
120
BSP + PP + DPS + IS.BG
120
BSP + PP + DB + IS.BG
118
GERB + DPS + DB
110
BSP + PP + DPS
110

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Bulgaria was conducted by Sova Harris. The survey took place between 28.10.2021 and 02.11.2021 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get GERB 23.8%, BSP 16.7%, PP 15.6%, ITN 13.4%, DPS 9.7%, DB 9.1%, IS.BG 4.1%, Volya 2.5% and VMRO 2.1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.