Current Election Trend for Georgia
Who is leading in the election trend in Georgia?
In the current election trend in Georgia, GD leads with 48.1% and thus maintains the level of the last election (-0.1 percentage points).
UNM reaches 13.7%. This means a significant loss in voter favor since the last election (-13.5).
Ahali reaches 13.2%. This means a significant loss in voter favor since the last election ().
ForGeo reaches 4.6%. This means a significant loss in voter favor since the last election ().
Lelo lands at 4.5% and gains +1.3 percentage points since the last election.
LP lands at 2.5% and gains +1.5 percentage points since the last election.
EG experiences slight losses compared to the last election and lands at 2.4% (-1.4).
C reaches 2%. This means a significant loss in voter favor since the last election ().
CM reaches 2%. This means a significant loss in voter favor since the last election ().
DM reaches 1.9%. This means a significant loss in voter favor since the last election ().
Droa reaches 1.8%. This means a significant loss in voter favor since the last election ().
FP reaches 1.6%. This means a significant loss in voter favor since the last election ().
Girchi experiences slight losses compared to the last election and lands at 1.5% (-1.4).
0.2% would vote for another small party in current polls (Other).
Which polls were considered in the election trend?
For the election trend, polls from various polling institutes from the last 3 months were analyzed. These include polls from ISSA and GORBI, for example. The latest poll from each institute was considered, and then, taking into account various factors, it was recalculated into a weighted average. The election trend is therefore more robust against outliers from individual institutes and provides a quick overview of the political mood in the country.
Therefore, the will of at least 3312 individuals was considered in the polls of the election trend. Election polls are not predictions of the election outcome but reflect the current mood during the respective poll period.
What values do the small parties have?
Representative polls are subject to statistical fluctuations and have a margin of error of 1.5 to 3 percentage points. Some polling institutes only mention small parties with a value of 3% or higher. PolitPro does not conduct its own polls and therefore has no more detailed information about small parties. To calculate reliable values, parties are only considered in the election trend if they are explicitly listed in at least half of all polls.
Polls are usually a projection. This means that the raw data is modified by the institutes based on various criteria to come as close as possible to the possible outcome of an election. However, the exact calculation methods of the polling institutes are not publicly known.
Could the government stay in office?
Which parties would enter parliament?
In the current election trend, 13 parties could enter parliament: GD, UNM, Ahali, ForGeo, Lelo, LP, EG, C, CM, DM, Droa, FP and Girchi reach the necessary percentages to surpass the parliamentary threshold.
To calculate virtual seats, all parties in the election trend that achieve sufficient votes to surpass the parliamentary threshold are considered. Since polls only determine the voting intentions of parties, compensation and overhang mandates cannot be taken into account.
Are non-voters considered in the election trend?
Why does PolitPro show the political orientation of parties?
Latest polls for Georgia
What is the latest poll for Georgia?
Coalitions
Which coalitions are currently possible in Georgia?
Information on the Coalition Overview
The overview of possible coalitions for the election in Georgia shows the main coalition possibilities. The coalitions are calculated based on the virtual seats of the election trend. Only parties that surpass the percentage threshold with their votes are considered. A complete overview of coalition possibilities can be found through the link below.
The number on the right indicates how many percent of the virtual seats a coalition would reach. From 50% of the votes, a coalition has realistic chances of forming the government. The icon above a bar on the right indicates the political orientation of a coalition (Left, right, center).
Election trend by party at a glance
| Party | 30 days | 3 months | 6 months | 12 months | Since election |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GD |
+11.5
|
+6.1
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
-0.1
|
| UNM |
±0.0
|
-1.8
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
-13.5
|
| Ahali |
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
+13.2
|
| ForGeo |
-4.2
|
-1.6
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
+4.6
|
| Lelo |
-2.2
|
+0.2
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
+1.3
|
| LP |
-2.2
|
-0.3
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
+1.5
|
| EG |
±0.0
|
+1.9
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
-1.4
|
| CM |
-1.0
|
+0.7
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
+2.0
|
| C |
+0.3
|
+1.7
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
+2.0
|
| DM |
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
+1.9
|
| Droa |
-3.2
|
-1.3
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
+1.8
|
| FP |
-2.1
|
-0.5
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
+1.6
|
| Girchi |
-1.4
|
+0.1
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
-1.4
|
Georgia — National parliament voting intention
Information on the Development of the Election Trend
Government and parliament
Which parties are in the parliament of Georgia?
In the parliament of Georgia, there are 150 representatives from 9 parties. 0 representatives are part of the government from . The opposition from GD, UNM, EG, Lelo, SB, APG, Girchi, Ci and LP has 150 representatives.
90 of the representatives are politically more left-leaning, while 50 representatives are politically more right-leaning.
Who governs in Georgia?
Parliamentary election in Georgia 2024
The Parliamentary election in Georgia 2024 will probably take place in 2024. Once the results are in, the election results will be posted on this page.
The country is lead by a Unknown orientation of . In the last Parliamentary election in Georgia in 2020, GD (48.2% - 90 seats), UNM (27.2% - 36 seats), EG (3.8% - 5 seats), Lelo (3.2% - 4 seats), SB (3.2% - 4 seats), APG (3.1% - 4 seats), Girchi (2.9% - 4 seats), Ci (1.3% - 2 seats) and LP (1% - 1 seats) entered parliament. The turnout of that election was 56.1%.