Current election polls by Maskína

Latest polls from Maskína

Iceland
· 1 month ago
1 month ago
Open Details
25.6
18
11.9
9.7
9.5
9.4
6.7
5.7
3.5
Iceland
· 1 month ago
1 month ago
Open Details
27.2
18.4
11.1
9.2
9
8.5
6.4
5.9
4.3
Iceland
· 5 months ago
5 months ago
Open Details
26
17.9
10.4
10.3
10
8.4
6.4
6.1
4.4
0.1
Iceland
· 1 year ago
1 year ago
Open Details
25.7
18.7
11.4
10.6
10.2
8.2
6
4.9
4.4
Iceland
· 1 year ago
1 year ago
Open Details
24.4
20.2
13.2
10.2
9.1
6
6
5.7
5.2

Rating of parties

Institute often rates Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn lower
In 30% of election polls Maskína rates Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Viðreisn higher
In 35% of election polls, Maskína rates Viðreisn higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Maskína pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.1 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, Maskína's average ranking is 3.0.
0x the most accurate prediction
2
0x the second best prediction
3
1x the third best prediction