Current election polls by Maskína

Latest polls from Maskína

Iceland
· 2 months ago
2 months ago
Open Details
26
17.9
10.4
10.3
10
8.4
6.4
6.1
4.4
0.1
Iceland
· 10 months ago
10 months ago
Open Details
25.7
18.7
11.4
10.6
10.2
8.2
6
4.9
4.4
Iceland
· 11 months ago
11 months ago
Open Details
24.4
20.2
13.2
10.2
9.1
6
6
5.7
5.2
Iceland
· 1 year ago
1 year ago
Open Details
23.3
20.1
12.7
12.3
8.2
6.7
5.9
5.8
5
Iceland
· 1 year ago
1 year ago
Open Details
23.6
21.8
12.1
10.4
9.1
8.3
5.9
5.1
3.6
0.1

Rating of parties

Institute often rates Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn lower
In 33% of election polls Maskína rates Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Viðreisn higher
In 39% of election polls, Maskína rates Viðreisn higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Maskína pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.1 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, Maskína's average ranking is 3.0.
0x the most accurate prediction
2
0x the second best prediction
3
1x the third best prediction