Current election polls and polling data from Gradus

Latest voting intention survey by Gradus for Ukraine

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Ukraine conducted by Gradus, the parties received the following results: YeS 22%, SN 18%, OPZZh 10%, Batkivshchyna 8%, US 7%, Nashi 6%, PSh 5%, RozPol 5%, UDAR 5%, SiCh 4%, RP 3%, Svoboda 3% and Holos 1%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1000 people during the period 19.01.2022.
1000 participants
19.01.2022
Gradus
Development since the last election on 21.07.2019
YeS
+13.9
SN
-25.2
OPZZh
-3.1
Batk.
-0.2
US
+4.6
Nashi
New
PSh
+2.8
RozPol
New
UDAR
New
SiCh
+0.2
RP
-1.0
Svo.
+0.8
Holos
-4.8
YeS
22.0
±0.0
SN
18.0
±0.0
OPZZh
10.0
±0.0
Batk.
8.0
±0.0
US
7.0
±0.0
Nashi
6.0
±0.0
PSh
5.0
±0.0
RozPol
5.0
±0.0
UDAR
5.0
±0.0
SiCh
4.0
±0.0
RP
3.0
±0.0
Svo.
3.0
±0.0
Holos
1.0
±0.0
Others
3.0
±0.0
This poll is more than 3 months old.

Seats in parliament

424
Majority requires 213 seats
OPZZh
50
11.8%
US
35
8.3%
Nashi
29
6.8%
RozPol
24
5.7%
SN
89
21%
YeS
109
25.7%
Batk.
40
9.4%
UDAR
24
5.7%
PSh
24
5.7%
YeS + SN + OPZZh
58.5%
YeS + SN + Batkivshchyna
56.1%
YeS + OPZZh + Nashi + UDAR + RozPol
55.7%
YeS + OPZZh + Batkivshchyna + US
55.2%
YeS + SN + US
55.0%
SN + OPZZh + Batkivshchyna + Nashi + RozPol
54.7%
SN + OPZZh + Batkivshchyna + Nashi + UDAR
54.7%
YeS + Batkivshchyna + US + UDAR + RozPol
54.7%
YeS + OPZZh + Batkivshchyna + Nashi
53.8%
YeS + SN + Nashi
53.5%
SN + OPZZh + US + Nashi + RozPol
53.5%
SN + OPZZh + Batkivshchyna + UDAR + RozPol
53.5%
SN + OPZZh + US + Nashi + UDAR
53.5%
YeS + Batkivshchyna + Nashi + UDAR + RozPol
53.3%
YeS + Batkivshchyna + Nashi + PSh + RozPol
53.3%
YeS + Batkivshchyna + Nashi + PSh + UDAR
53.3%
YeS + OPZZh + Batkivshchyna + RozPol
52.6%
YeS + OPZZh + US + Nashi
52.6%
YeS + OPZZh + Batkivshchyna + UDAR
52.6%
YeS + SN + RozPol
52.4%
YeS + SN + UDAR
52.4%
SN + OPZZh + US + UDAR + RozPol
52.4%
YeS + SN + PSh
52.4%
YeS + US + Nashi + UDAR + RozPol
52.1%
YeS + Batkivshchyna + PSh + UDAR + RozPol
52.1%
YeS + OPZZh + US + RozPol
51.4%
YeS + OPZZh + US + UDAR
51.4%
SN + Batkivshchyna + US + Nashi + RozPol
51.2%
SN + Batkivshchyna + US + Nashi + UDAR
51.2%
SN + OPZZh + Nashi + UDAR + RozPol
50.9%
SN + OPZZh + Batkivshchyna + US
50.5%
YeS + Batkivshchyna + US + Nashi
50.2%
YeS + OPZZh + Nashi + RozPol
50.0%
YeS + OPZZh + Nashi + UDAR
50.0%
SN + Batkivshchyna + US + UDAR + RozPol
50.0%
YeS + Nashi + PSh + UDAR + RozPol
49.5%
SN + OPZZh + Batkivshchyna + Nashi
49.1%
YeS + Batkivshchyna + US + RozPol
49.1%
YeS + Batkivshchyna + US + UDAR
49.1%
?

PolitPro Score

Gradus achieves a score of ?/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
Batk.
Not enough data available
Holos
Not enough data available
Nashi
Not enough data available
OPZZh
Not enough data available
PSh
Not enough data available
RP
Not enough data available
RozPol
Not enough data available
SN
Not enough data available
SiCh
Not enough data available
Svo.
Not enough data available
UDAR
Not enough data available
US
Not enough data available
YeS
Not enough data available

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
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