Ukraine
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Ukraine: Poll by DIF&Razumkov from 22.12.2021

Polling data

SN
20.4
±0.0
YeS
17.3
±0.0
Batk.
10.6
±0.0
RozPol
10.5
±0.0
OPZZh
9.9
±0.0
SiCh
6.7
±0.0
Nashi
5.2
±0.0
US
4.4
±0.0
Svoboda
3.3
±0.0
RP
1.9
±0.0
UDAR
1.6
±0.0
Holos
1.0
±0.0
PSh
0.7
±0.0
HP
0.6
±0.0
ZM
0.6
±0.0
Opoblok
0.4
±0.0
ProP.
0.2
±0.0
Sonst.
4.7
±0.0
Development since the last election on 21.07.2019
SN
-22.8
YeS
+9.2
Batk.
+2.4
RozPol
New
OPZZh
-3.2
SiCh
+2.9
Nashi
New
US
+2.0
Svoboda
+1.1
RP
-2.1
UDAR
New
Holos
-4.8
PSh
-1.5
HP
-0.4
ZM
New
Opoblok
-2.6
ProP.
New
DIF&Razumkov – 2018 respondents – 17.12.2021-22.12.2021

Next election: 2024

The next parliamentary election in Ukraine is expected to take place in 2024.

Election poll results

Ukraine - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Ukraine from DIF&Razumkov shows the following results: SN 20.4%, YeS 17.3%, Batkivshchyna 10.6%, RozPol 10.5%, OPZZh 9.9%, SiCh 6.7%, Nashi 5.2%, US 4.4%, Svoboda 3.3%, RP 1.9%, UDAR 1.6%, Holos 1%, PSh 0.7%, HP 0.6%, ZM 0.6%, Opoblok 0.4% and ProPoz 0.2%. If an election were held in Ukraine this Sunday, YeS might gain the most in voter favorability with +9.2 growth since the last election. SN, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-22.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Unknown orientation from . With 0.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by DIF&Razumkov. For this purpose, 2018 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (17.12.2021 - 22.12.2021).

Coalition possibilities

424
OPZZh
52
RozPol
55
Nashi
27
SN
108
YeS
92
Batk.
55
SiCh
35
Majority requires 213 seats
SN + YeS + Batkivshchyna
255
YeS + Batkivshchyna + RozPol + OPZZh
254
SN + YeS + RozPol
255
SN + YeS + OPZZh
252
YeS + Batkivshchyna + RozPol + SiCh
237
YeS + Batkivshchyna + OPZZh + SiCh
234
SN + YeS + SiCh
235
YeS + RozPol + OPZZh + SiCh
234
YeS + Batkivshchyna + RozPol + Nashi
229
YeS + Batkivshchyna + OPZZh + Nashi
226
SN + YeS + Nashi
227
YeS + RozPol + OPZZh + Nashi
226
SN + Batkivshchyna + SiCh + Nashi
225
Batkivshchyna + RozPol + OPZZh + SiCh + Nashi
224
SN + RozPol + SiCh + Nashi
225
SN + OPZZh + SiCh + Nashi
222
SN + Batkivshchyna + RozPol
218
SN + Batkivshchyna + OPZZh
215
SN + RozPol + OPZZh
215
YeS + Batkivshchyna + SiCh + Nashi
209
YeS + RozPol + SiCh + Nashi
209

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Ukraine was conducted by DIF&Razumkov. The survey took place between 17.12.2021 and 22.12.2021 among 2018 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SN 20.4%, YeS 17.3%, Batkivshchyna 10.6%, RozPol 10.5%, OPZZh 9.9%, SiCh 6.7%, Nashi 5.2%, US 4.4%, Svoboda 3.3%, RP 1.9%, UDAR 1.6%, Holos 1%, PSh 0.7%, HP 0.6%, ZM 0.6%, Opoblok 0.4% and ProPoz 0.2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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