Bulgaria: Poll by Exacta from 22.02.2021

Polling data

GERB
26.4
-9.6
BSP
22.3
-9.7
ITN
13.5
+13.5
DPS
8.5
+0.5
DB
5.1
+1.1
VMRO
4.1
+4.1
IS.BG
2.7
+2.7
Others
17.4
-2.6
Development since the last election on 27.10.2024
GERB
+0.9
BSP
+15.0
ITN
+6.9
DPS
-2.7
DB
New
VMRO
New
IS.BG
New
Exacta – 1005 respondents – 15.02.2021-22.02.2021

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Bulgaria is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Bulgaria - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Bulgaria from Exacta shows the following results: GERB 26.4%, BSP 22.3%, ITN 13.5%, DPS 8.5%, DB 5.1%, VMRO 4.1% and IS.BG 2.7%. If an election were held in Bulgaria this Sunday, BSP might gain the most in voter favorability with +15.0 growth since the last election. DPS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Galab Donev is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from GERB, DB and PP. With 39.4% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Exacta. For this purpose, 1005 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (15.02.2021 - 22.02.2021).

Coalition possibilities

240
Majority requires 121 seats
BSP
67
27.9%
ITN
41
16.9%
DPS
25
10.6%
GERB
80
33%
DB
15
6.4%
VMRO
12
5.1%
GERB + BSP
61.3%
BSP + ITN + DPS
55.4%
GERB + DPS + DB + VMRO
55.0%
GERB + ITN
50.4%
GERB + DPS + DB
50.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Bulgaria was conducted by Exacta. The survey took place between 15.02.2021 and 22.02.2021 among 1005 eligible voters. After this election poll would get GERB 26.4%, BSP 22.3%, ITN 13.5%, DPS 8.5%, DB 5.1%, VMRO 4.1% and IS.BG 2.7%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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