Bulgaria: Poll by Mediana from 26.02.2021

Polling data

GERB
27.5
+2.7
BSP
24.2
+3.7
ITN
15.2
+15.2
DPS
10.7
+2.4
IS.BG
5.0
+5.0
DB
4.2
+4.2
VMRO
4.0
+4.0
Volya
3.1
+1.0
ABV
1.4
+1.4
Others
4.7
-9.7
Mediana – 943 respondents – 22.02.2021-26.02.2021
Next election: 2026
The next parliamentary election in Bulgaria is expected to take place in 2026.

Coalition possibilities

GERB + ITN + DPS
58.8
GERB + BSP
57.0
GERB + DPS + IS.BG + DB
GERB + ITN + DB
51.6
GERB + ITN + VMRO
51.4
GERB + DPS + DB + VMRO
GERB + DPS + DB
46.7

Frequently asked questions about election polls

election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Bulgaria was conducted by Mediana. The survey took place between 22.02.2021 and 26.02.2021 among 943 eligible voters. After this election poll would get GERB 27.5%, BSP 24.2%, ITN 15.2%, DPS 10.7%, IS.BG 5%, DB 4.2%, VMRO 4%, Volya 3.1% and ABV 1.4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.

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