Bulgaria
Election trend
Parties

Bulgaria: Poll by Gallup from 07.07.2021

Polling data

ITN
21.3
+0.1
GERB
20.3
-0.7
BSP
15.9
±0.0
DB
12.2
+0.1
DPS
11.5
-0.4
IS.BG
6.1
+0.3
Volya
3.1
+3.1
Sonst.
9.6
-2.5
Development since the last election on 02.04.2023
ITN
+17.4
GERB
-5.1
BSP
+7.3
DB
DPS
-1.7
IS.BG
Volya
Gallup – 1010 respondents – 30.06.2021-07.07.2021
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Bulgaria is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Bulgaria - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Bulgaria from Gallup shows the following results: ITN 21.3%, GERB 20.3%, BSP 15.9%, DB 12.2%, DPS 11.5%, IS.BG 6.1% and Volya 3.1%. If an election were held in Bulgaria this Sunday, ITN might gain the most in voter favorability with +17.4 growth since the last election. GERB, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Galab Donev is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from GERB, DB and PP. With 37.3% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Gallup. For this purpose, 1010 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (30.06.2021 - 07.07.2021).

Coalition possibilities

240
IS.BG
16
BSP
44
ITN
59
DPS
32
GERB
56
DB
33
Majority requires 121 seats
ITN + GERB + BSP
159
ITN + GERB + DB
148
ITN + GERB + DPS
147
ITN + BSP + DPS
135
GERB + BSP + DB
133
GERB + BSP + DPS
132
BSP + DB + DPS + IS.BG
125
ITN + DB + DPS
124
GERB + DB + DPS
121

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Bulgaria was conducted by Gallup. The survey took place between 30.06.2021 and 07.07.2021 among 1010 eligible voters. After this election poll would get ITN 21.3%, GERB 20.3%, BSP 15.9%, DB 12.2%, DPS 11.5%, IS.BG 6.1% and Volya 3.1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.