Bulgaria
Election trend
Parties

Bulgaria: Poll by Trend from 07.11.2021

Polling data

GERB
22.9
-1.5
BSP
15.1
-1.5
PP
14.8
+5.7
ITN
12.8
-4.7
DPS
10.3
+1.0
DB
9.1
+0.6
Volya
3.6
+0.7
IS.BG
3.3
-0.5
VMRO
2.2
±0.0
Sonst.
5.9
+0.2
Development since the last election on 02.04.2023
GERB
-2.5
BSP
+6.5
PP
ITN
+8.9
DPS
-2.9
DB
Volya
IS.BG
VMRO
Trend – 1013 respondents – 01.11.2021-07.11.2021
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Bulgaria is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Bulgaria - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Bulgaria from Trend shows the following results: GERB 22.9%, BSP 15.1%, PP 14.8%, ITN 12.8%, DPS 10.3%, DB 9.1%, Volya 3.6%, IS.BG 3.3% and VMRO 2.2%. If an election were held in Bulgaria this Sunday, ITN might gain the most in voter favorability with +8.9 growth since the last election. DPS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.9) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Galab Donev is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from GERB, DB and PP. With 55.0% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Trend. For this purpose, 1013 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 6 days (01.11.2021 - 07.11.2021).

Coalition possibilities

240
BSP
43
PP
42
ITN
36
DPS
29
GERB
65
DB
25
Majority requires 121 seats
GERB + BSP + PP
150
GERB + BSP + ITN
144
GERB + PP + ITN
143
BSP + PP + DPS + DB
139
GERB + BSP + DPS
137
GERB + PP + DPS
136
GERB + BSP + DB
133
PP + ITN + DPS + DB
132
GERB + PP + DB
132
GERB + ITN + DPS
130
GERB + ITN + DB
126
GERB + DPS + DB
119
BSP + PP + DPS
114

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Bulgaria was conducted by Trend. The survey took place between 01.11.2021 and 07.11.2021 among 1013 eligible voters. After this election poll would get GERB 22.9%, BSP 15.1%, PP 14.8%, ITN 12.8%, DPS 10.3%, DB 9.1%, Volya 3.6%, IS.BG 3.3% and VMRO 2.2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.