Bulgaria
Election trend
Parties

Bulgaria: Poll by Trend from 19.01.2022

Polling data

PP
26.4
+11.6
GERB
22.3
-0.6
BSP
11.5
-3.6
DPS
10.9
+0.6
ITN
8.1
-4.7
DB
6.8
-2.3
V
6.0
+6.0
IS.BG
1.9
-1.4
VMRO
1.1
-1.1
Sonst.
5.0
-4.5
Development since the last election on 02.04.2023
PP
GERB
-3.1
BSP
+2.9
DPS
-2.3
ITN
+4.2
DB
V
-7.6
IS.BG
VMRO
Trend – 1004 respondents – 12.01.2022-19.01.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Bulgaria is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Bulgaria - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Bulgaria from Trend shows the following results: PP 26.4%, GERB 22.3%, BSP 11.5%, DPS 10.9%, ITN 8.1%, DB 6.8%, Vŭzrazhdane 6%, IS.BG 1.9% and VMRO 1.1%. If an election were held in Bulgaria this Sunday, ITN might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.2 growth since the last election. PP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (?) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Galab Donev is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from GERB, DB and PP. With 60.3% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Trend. For this purpose, 1004 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (12.01.2022 - 19.01.2022).

Coalition possibilities

240
BSP
30
PP
69
ITN
21
DPS
28
GERB
59
DB
18
V
15
Majority requires 121 seats
GERB + BSP + DPS + ITN
138
PP + DPS + ITN + DB
136
GERB + BSP + DPS + DB
135
PP + DPS + ITN + Vŭzrazhdane
133
PP + DPS + DB + Vŭzrazhdane
130
PP + BSP + DPS
127
PP + GERB
128
GERB + DPS + ITN + DB
126
PP + ITN + DB + Vŭzrazhdane
123
GERB + DPS + ITN + Vŭzrazhdane
123
GERB + DPS + DB + Vŭzrazhdane
120
PP + DPS + ITN
118
GERB + BSP + DPS
117

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Bulgaria was conducted by Trend. The survey took place between 12.01.2022 and 19.01.2022 among 1004 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PP 26.4%, GERB 22.3%, BSP 11.5%, DPS 10.9%, ITN 8.1%, DB 6.8%, Vŭzrazhdane 6%, IS.BG 1.9% and VMRO 1.1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.