Bulgaria
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Bulgaria: Poll by Gallup from 08.03.2024

Polling data

GERB
26.4
±0.0
PP/DB
19.6
-2.2
V
14.8
-0.1
DPS
14.7
+0.2
BSP
10.6
+0.9
ITN
5.1
+0.8
Sonst.
8.8
+0.4
Development since the last election on 09.06.2024
GERB
+2.4
PP/DB
+5.7
V
+1.4
DPS
-1.9
BSP
+3.7
ITN
-0.7
Gallup – 810 respondents – 29.02.2024-08.03.2024

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Bulgaria is expected to take place in 2027.

Low number of respondents

Only 810 eligible voters were polled for this election poll.

Election poll results

Bulgaria - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Bulgaria from Gallup shows the following results: GERB 26.4%, PP/DB 19.6%, Vŭzrazhdane 14.8%, DPS 14.7%, BSP 10.6% and ITN 5.1%. If an election were held in Bulgaria this Sunday, PP/DB might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.7 growth since the last election. DPS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.9) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Galab Donev is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from GERB, DB and PP. With 28.9% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Gallup. For this purpose, 810 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 8 days (29.02.2024 - 08.03.2024).

Coalition possibilities

240
BSP
28
ITN
13
DPS
38
GERB
70
PP/DB
52
V
39
Majority requires 121 seats
GERB + Vŭzrazhdane + DPS
147
GERB + DPS + BSP
136
PP/DB + DPS + BSP + ITN
131
PP/DB + Vŭzrazhdane + DPS
129
GERB + Vŭzrazhdane + ITN
122
GERB + DPS + ITN
121
GERB + PP/DB
122
PP/DB + DPS + BSP
118

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Bulgaria was conducted by Gallup. The survey took place between 29.02.2024 and 08.03.2024 among 810 eligible voters. After this election poll would get GERB 26.4%, PP/DB 19.6%, Vŭzrazhdane 14.8%, DPS 14.7%, BSP 10.6% and ITN 5.1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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