Croatia
Election trend
Parties

Croatia: Poll by Ipsos from 20.05.2022

Polling data

HDZ
34.3
+0.8
SDP
16.1
-0.6
Most
11.7
-0.3
M
11.7
-1.0
DP
6.4
-0.3
KH
2.2
+0.2
HNS
2.1
+0.6
HS
1.8
+0.1
IDS
1.7
+1.7
CENTAR
1.4
-1.7
Sonst.
10.6
+0.5
Development since the last election on 17.04.2024
HDZ
-0.1
SDP
-9.3
Most
+3.7
M
+2.6
DP
-3.2
KH
HNS
HS
IDS
-0.5
CENTAR
Ipsos – 976 respondents – 01.05.2022-20.05.2022
Next election: 2028
The next parliamentary election in Croatia is expected to take place in 2028.

Election poll results

Croatia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Croatia from Ipsos shows the following results: HDZ 34.3%, SDP 16.1%, Most 11.7%, Možemo! 11.7%, DP 6.4%, KH 2.2%, HNS 2.1%, Hrvatski suverenisti 1.8%, IDS 1.7% and Centar 1.4%. If an election were held in Croatia this Sunday, Most might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.7 growth since the last election. SDP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-9.3) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Andrej Plenković is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from HDZ and HNS. With 42.8% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Ipsos. For this purpose, 976 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 19 days (01.05.2022 - 20.05.2022).

Coalition possibilities

151
M
22
SDP
30
HDZ
65
Most
22
DP
12
Majority requires 76 seats
HDZ + SDP
95
HDZ + Most
87
HDZ + DP
77

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Croatia was conducted by Ipsos. The survey took place between 01.05.2022 and 20.05.2022 among 976 eligible voters. After this election poll would get HDZ 34.3%, SDP 16.1%, Most 11.7%, Možemo! 11.7%, DP 6.4%, KH 2.2%, HNS 2.1%, Hrvatski suverenisti 1.8%, IDS 1.7% and Centar 1.4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.