Current election polls and polling data from Kantar Emor

Latest voting intention survey by Kantar Emor for Estonia

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Estonia conducted by Kantar Emor, the parties received the following results: Isamaa 25.2%, Reformierakond 17.6%, Keskerakond 16%, EKRE 14%, SDE 11.9%, Parempoolsed 8.4%, E200 3%, EER 1.4%, KOOS 1.3% and Elurikkuse Erakond 0.9%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1587 people during the period 19.03.2025 - 19.03.2025.
1587 participants
12.03.2025 - 19.03.2025
Kantar Emor
Development since the last election on 05.03.2023
I
+17.0
R
-13.6
K
+0.7
EKRE
-2.1
SDE
+2.6
P
+6.1
E200
-10.3
EER
+0.4
KOOS
New
ER
New
I
25.2
-4.2
R
17.6
+3.2
K
16.0
+0.8
EKRE
14.0
-1.1
SDE
11.9
-1.3
P
8.4
+2.1
E200
3.0
+0.4
EER
1.4
±0.0
KOOS
1.3
+0.3
ER
0.9
+0.1
Others
0.3
-0.3

Seats in parliament

101
Majority requires 51 seats
SDE
13
12.9%
K
17
16.8%
R
19
18.8%
I
28
27.7%
P
9
8.9%
EKRE
15
14.9%
Isamaa + Reformierakond + Keskerakond
63.4%
Isamaa + Reformierakond + EKRE
61.4%
Isamaa + Reformierakond + SDE
59.4%
Isamaa + Keskerakond + SDE
57.4%
Reformierakond + Keskerakond + SDE + Parempoolsed
57.4%
Isamaa + Reformierakond + Parempoolsed
55.4%
Isamaa + Keskerakond + Parempoolsed
53.5%
Isamaa + EKRE + Parempoolsed
51.5%
Isamaa + SDE + Parempoolsed
49.5%
73

PolitPro Score

Kantar Emor achieves a score of 73/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
E200
7
41
52
EER
2
82
16
EKRE
29
48
23
ER
0
83
18
I
29
63
8
K
45
42
13
KOOS
0
89
11
P
3
80
17
R
33
47
21
SDE
3
46
51

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

1.5

Average deviation

On average, party poll results in Kantar Emor pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.5 percentage points.

Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections

Deviation Election Rank
1.65
 Parliamentary Election in Estland 2023 1/3
1.28
 Parliamentary Election in Estland 2019 3/4

How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?

The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.
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