Latest voting intention survey by Kantar Emor for Estonia
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Estonia conducted by Kantar Emor, the parties received the following results: Isamaa 25.2%, Reformierakond 17.6%, Keskerakond 16%, EKRE 14%, SDE 11.9%, Parempoolsed 8.4%, E200 3%, EER 1.4%, KOOS 1.3% and Elurikkuse Erakond 0.9%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1587 people during the period 19.03.2025 - 19.03.2025.
1587 participants
12.03.2025 - 19.03.2025
Kantar Emor
Seats in parliament
101
Majority requires 51 seats
SDE
13
12.9%
K
17
16.8%
R
19
18.8%
I
28
27.7%
P
9
8.9%
EKRE
15
14.9%
Isamaa + Reformierakond + Keskerakond
Isamaa + Reformierakond + EKRE
Isamaa + Reformierakond + SDE
Isamaa + Keskerakond + SDE
Reformierakond + Keskerakond + SDE + Parempoolsed
Isamaa + Reformierakond + Parempoolsed
Isamaa + Keskerakond + Parempoolsed
Isamaa + EKRE + Parempoolsed
Isamaa + SDE + Parempoolsed
73
PolitPro Score
Kantar Emor achieves a score of 73/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
1.5
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Kantar Emor pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.5 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
Deviation | Election | Rank |
---|---|---|
1.65
|
Parliamentary Election in Estland 2023 | 1/3 |
1.28
|
Parliamentary Election in Estland 2019 | 3/4 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.