Current election polls and polling data from Infratest dimap

Latest voting intention survey by Infratest dimap for EU-Parliament

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in EU-Parliament conducted by Infratest dimap, the parties received the following results: CDU/CSU 29%, SPD 15%, AfD 14%, Grüne 14%, BSW 6%, FDP 4%, Die Linke 3% and Freie Wähler 3%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1515 people during the period 29.05.2024 - 29.05.2024. The survey was commissioned by ARD.
1515 participants
27.05.2024 - 29.05.2024
Infratest dimap
ARD
Union
29.0
-1.0
SPD
15.0
+1.0
AfD
14.0
-1.0
Grüne
14.0
-1.0
BSW
6.0
-1.0
FDP
4.0
±0.0
Linke
3.0
+3.0
FW
3.0
+3.0
Others
12.0
-3.0
This poll is more than 3 months old.

Seats in parliament

96
Majority requires 49 seats
Linke
3
3.1%
SPD
17
17.7%
Grüne
15
15.6%
BSW
6
6.3%
FDP
4
4.2%
Union
32
33.3%
FW
3
3.1%
AfD
16
16.7%
CDU/CSU + AfD + BSW
56.3%
CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW
55.2%
CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP
54.2%
CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP
53.1%
CDU/CSU + AfD + Freie Wähler
53.1%
CDU/CSU + Grüne + Freie Wähler
52.1%
CDU/CSU + SPD
51.0%
CDU/CSU + AfD
50.0%
CDU/CSU + Grüne
49.0%

85

PolitPro Score

Infratest dimap achieves a score of 85/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
AfD
8
83
9
BSW
10
84
6
CDU/CSU
9
77
14
FDP
4
93
3
FW
6
86
8
Grüne
4
80
16
Linke
7
90
3
SPD
13
80
7

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

ARD-Deutschlandtrend

The ARD-Deutschlandtrend is a monthly political opinion poll that has been conducted since 1997 in a representative telephone survey of around 1000 to 1500 randomly selected eligible Germans. The ARD Deutschlandtrend is surveyed by the Infratest dimap institute and presented on the Tagesthemen program on German television. A historical overview of past opinion polls can also be found on the Infratest dimap website.