Latest voting intention survey by Ipsos for Georgia
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Georgia conducted by Ipsos, the parties received the following results: GD 35%, UNM 30%, ForGeo 9%, EG 4%, LP 3%, Lelo 3%, SB 3%, AP 2%, Girchi 2% and C 1%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1500 people during the period 25.09.2021 - 25.09.2021. The survey was commissioned by Mtavari Channel.
1500 participants
21.09.2021 - 25.09.2021
Ipsos
Mtavari Channel
Seats in parliament
150
Majority requires 76 seats
LP
5
3.3%
GD
57
38%
ForGeo
15
10%
C
1
0.7%
UNM
49
32.7%
SB
5
3.3%
Lelo
5
3.3%
EG
7
4.7%
AP
3
2%
Gi
3
2%
GD + UNM
GD + ForGeo + EG
UNM + ForGeo + LP + Lelo + SB
UNM + ForGeo + Lelo + SB + Girchi
GD + ForGeo + Lelo
GD + ForGeo + SB
GD + EG + Lelo + SB + Girchi
UNM + ForGeo + LP + Lelo + Girchi
UNM + ForGeo + EG + AP + Girchi
UNM + ForGeo + LP + Lelo + AP
UNM + ForGeo + LP + SB + Girchi
UNM + ForGeo + Lelo + SB + AP
UNM + ForGeo + LP + SB + AP
GD + ForGeo + LP
UNM + ForGeo + EG + Lelo
UNM + ForGeo + EG + SB
UNM + ForGeo + EG + LP
GD + ForGeo + Girchi
UNM + ForGeo + Lelo + AP + Girchi
UNM + ForGeo + LP + AP + Girchi
UNM + ForGeo + SB + AP + Girchi
UNM + ForGeo + EG + Girchi
UNM + ForGeo + Lelo + SB
GD + EG + Lelo + SB
UNM + ForGeo + LP + Lelo
UNM + ForGeo + EG + AP
UNM + ForGeo + LP + SB
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
4.4
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Ipsos pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 4.4 percentage points.
Average deviation of pre-election polls from the last election results
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
4.36
|
Parliamentary Election in Georgien 2020 | 3/3 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
We compare pre-election polls from the institutes with the actual election results. This involves calculating the average deviation of party values and deriving an overall average. All parties with an election result of 3% or higher are included in the calculation.