Georgia: Poll by Ipsos from 01.10.2020

Polling data

GD
36.6
±0.0
UNM
26.0
±0.0
EG
10.3
±0.0
Lelo
5.4
±0.0
SB
5.1
±0.0
LP
2.8
±0.0
AP
2.5
±0.0
Gi
2.5
±0.0
C
1.5
±0.0
DM
1.5
±0.0
Others
5.8
±0.0
Development since the last election on 26.10.2024
GD
-17.5
UNM
New
EG
New
Lelo
New
SB
New
LP
+2.1
AP
+0.1
Gi
-0.5
C
New
DM
New
Ipsos – 1500 respondents – 23.09.2020-01.10.2020

Next election: 2028

The next parliamentary election in Georgia is expected to take place in 2028.

Election poll results

Georgia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Georgia from Ipsos shows the following results: GD 36.6%, UNM 26%, EG 10.3%, Lelo 5.4%, SB 5.1%, LP 2.8%, AP 2.5%, Girchi 2.5%, C 1.5% and DM 1.5%. If an election were held in Georgia this Sunday, LP might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.1 growth since the last election. GD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-17.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Coalition of the center from GD. With 39.3% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Ipsos. For this purpose, 1500 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 8 days (23.09.2020 - 01.10.2020).

Coalition possibilities

150
Majority requires 76 seats
LP
4
2.7%
GD
59
39.3%
C
2
1.3%
UNM
42
28%
SB
8
5.3%
Lelo
8
5.3%
EG
17
11.3%
AP
4
2.7%
Gi
4
2.7%
DM
2
1.3%
GD + UNM
67.3%
UNM + EG + Lelo + SB + Girchi
52.7%
GD + Lelo + SB + Girchi
52.7%
UNM + EG + Lelo + SB + LP
52.7%
UNM + EG + Lelo + SB + AP
52.7%
GD + EG
50.7%
UNM + EG + Lelo + SB
50.0%
GD + Lelo + SB
50.0%
UNM + EG + Lelo + LP + Girchi
50.0%
UNM + EG + Lelo + AP + Girchi
50.0%
UNM + EG + Lelo + LP + AP
50.0%
UNM + EG + SB + LP + Girchi
50.0%
UNM + EG + SB + AP + Girchi
50.0%
UNM + EG + SB + LP + AP
50.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Georgia was conducted by Ipsos. The survey took place between 23.09.2020 and 01.10.2020 among 1500 eligible voters. After this election poll would get GD 36.6%, UNM 26%, EG 10.3%, Lelo 5.4%, SB 5.1%, LP 2.8%, AP 2.5%, Girchi 2.5%, C 1.5% and DM 1.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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