Current election polls and polling data from Spinter tyrimai

Latest voting intention survey by Spinter tyrimai for Lithuania

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Lithuania conducted by Spinter tyrimai, the parties received the following results: LSDP 16.3%, TS-LKD 15.9%, NA 13%, LS 12.3%, DSVL 11.8%, LVŽS 9.1%, Laisvės 4.2% and NS 3.3%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1009 people during the period 29.01.2025 - 29.01.2025. The survey was commissioned by Delfi.
1009 participants
18.01.2025 - 29.01.2025
Spinter tyrimai
Delfi
Development since the last election on 13.10.2024
LSDP
-3.4
TS-LKD
-2.4
NA
-2.3
LS
+4.5
DSVL
+2.4
LVŽS
+1.9
LP
-0.4
NS
+0.4
LSDP
16.3
-2.1
TS-LKD
15.9
-1.4
NA
13.0
-4.9
LS
12.3
+0.8
DSVL
11.8
+0.7
LVŽS
9.1
-0.1
LP
4.2
+0.9
NS
3.3
+3.3
Others
14.1
+2.8

Seats in parliament

141
Majority requires 71 seats
NA
23
16.3%
LSDP
30
21.3%
LS
22
15.6%
LVŽS
16
11.3%
DSVL
21
14.9%
TS-LKD
29
20.6%
LSDP + TS-LKD + NA
58.2%
NA + LS + DSVL + LVŽS
58.2%
LSDP + TS-LKD + LS
57.4%
LSDP + TS-LKD + DSVL
56.7%
LSDP + TS-LKD + LVŽS
53.2%
LSDP + NA + LS
53.2%
TS-LKD + NA + LS
52.5%
LSDP + NA + DSVL
52.5%
LSDP + NA + DSVL
52.5%
TS-LKD + NA + DSVL
51.8%
LSDP + LS + DSVL
51.8%
TS-LKD + NA + DSVL
51.8%
LSDP + LS + DSVL
51.8%
TS-LKD + LS + DSVL
51.1%
TS-LKD + LS + DSVL
51.1%
56

PolitPro Score

Spinter tyrimai achieves a score of 56/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
DSVL
53
37
11
LP
0
52
48
LS
Not enough data available
LSDP
68
30
2
LVŽS
38
49
13
NA
11
56
33
NS
0
83
17
TS-LKD
9
55
36

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

1.7

Average deviation

On average, party poll results in Spinter tyrimai pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.7 percentage points.

Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections

Deviation Election Rank
1.71
 Parliamentary Election in Litauen 2024 1/1

How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?

The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.
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