Moldova: Poll by CBS Research from 12.02.2024

Moldova: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
PAS
34.3
-8.3
BECS
29.3
+29.3
SAN
10.1
+10.1
PN
4.7
+2.8
PDCM
3.8
+2.0
PDA
2.6
+2.6
PSDE
2.2
+0.1
PR
2.1
+2.1
PLDM
1.8
+1.3
CUB
1.6
+1.1
MAN
1.5
+1.5
PCC
0.3
-0.2
Others
5.7
-44.4
Development since the last election on 11.07.2021
PAS
-18.5
BECS
+2.1
SAN
New
PN
New
PDCM
New
PDA
+1.2
PSDE
New
PR
New
PLDM
New
CUB
New
MAN
New
PCC
New
CBS Research – 1104 respondents – 07.02.2024-12.02.2024

Next election: 2026

The next parliamentary election in Moldova is expected to take place in 2026.

Institute often rates PAS higher

In 56% of election polls, CBS Research rates PAS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates PN lower

In 44% of election polls CBS Research rates PN lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Moldova - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Moldova from CBS Research shows the following results: PAS 34.3%, BECS 29.3%, Șansă 10.1%, PN 4.7%, PDCM 3.8%, PDA 2.6%, PSDE 2.2%, PR 2.1%, PLDM 1.8%, CUB 1.6%, MAN 1.5% and PCC 0.3%. If an election were held in Moldova this Sunday, BECS might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.1 growth since the last election. PAS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-18.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Unknown orientation from . With 0.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by CBS Research. For this purpose, 1104 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (07.02.2024 - 12.02.2024).

Coalition possibilities

101
Majority requires 51 seats
BECS
41
40.6%
PAS
47
46.5%
SAN
13
12.9%
PAS + BECS
87.1%
PAS + Șansă
59.4%
PAS
46.5%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Moldova was conducted by CBS Research. The survey took place between 07.02.2024 and 12.02.2024 among 1104 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PAS 34.3%, BECS 29.3%, Șansă 10.1%, PN 4.7%, PDCM 3.8%, PDA 2.6%, PSDE 2.2%, PR 2.1%, PLDM 1.8%, CUB 1.6%, MAN 1.5% and PCC 0.3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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