Latest polls from Kantar
26.7
11.3
11.3
10
8.7
8
6.7
4.7
4
2.7
1.3
1.3
1.3
0.7
0.7
0.6
27.9
12.1
10.9
9.9
9.4
6.8
6.6
5.8
3.8
1.9
1.4
1.4
1
1.1
Rating of parties
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Kantar pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.5 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, Kantar's average ranking is 6.9.
0x the most accurate prediction
2
0x the second best prediction
3
1x the third best prediction
4
1x on rank 4
5
1x on rank 5
6
0x on rank 6
7
1x on rank 7
8
0x on rank 8
10
0x on rank 10
11
1x on rank 11