Netherlands
Election trend
Parties

Netherlands: Poll by I&O Research from 15.03.2021

Polling data

VVD
21.0
-2.4
PVV
12.5
+0.7
D66
11.8
+2.4
CDA
10.2
-1.0
PvdA
7.4
-0.7
GL
7.2
-0.3
SP
6.8
+0.6
CU
3.9
+0.2
PvdD
3.2
-0.7
FvD
3.2
±0.0
Volt
3.2
+1.6
SGP
2.4
-0.2
JA21
1.8
+0.1
DENK
1.3
-0.5
50+
1.0
-0.6
B1
0.7
+0.7
Sonst.
2.4
+0.1
Development since the last election on 22.11.2023
VVD
+5.7
PVV
-11.0
D66
+5.5
CDA
+6.9
PvdA
GL
SP
+3.7
CU
+1.9
PvdD
+0.9
FvD
+1.0
Volt
+1.5
SGP
+0.3
JA21
+1.1
DENK
-1.1
50+
+0.5
B1
+0.3
I&O Research – 2812 respondents – 12.03.2021-15.03.2021
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Netherlands is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Netherlands - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Netherlands from I&O Research shows the following results: VVD 21%, PVV 12.5%, D66 11.8%, CDA 10.2%, PvdA 7.4%, GroenLinks 7.2%, SP 6.8%, CU 3.9%, PvdD 3.2%, FvD 3.2%, Volt 3.2%, SGP 2.4%, JA21 1.8%, Denk 1.3%, 50Plus 1% and Bij1 0.7%. If an election were held in Netherlands this Sunday, CDA might gain the most in voter favorability with +6.9 growth since the last election. PVV, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-11.0) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Mark Rutte is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from VVD, CDA, D66 and CU. With 48.1% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by I&O Research. For this purpose, 2812 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (12.03.2021 - 15.03.2021).

Coalition possibilities

150
SP
10
DENK
2
B1
1
PvdD
5
PvdA
11
Volt
5
GL
11
D66
19
VVD
33
CDA
16
CU
6
SGP
3
50+
1
PVV
20
FvD
5
JA21
2
Majority requires 76 seats

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Netherlands was conducted by I&O Research. The survey took place between 12.03.2021 and 15.03.2021 among 2812 eligible voters. After this election poll would get VVD 21%, PVV 12.5%, D66 11.8%, CDA 10.2%, PvdA 7.4%, GroenLinks 7.2%, SP 6.8%, CU 3.9%, PvdD 3.2%, FvD 3.2%, Volt 3.2%, SGP 2.4%, JA21 1.8%, Denk 1.3%, 50Plus 1% and Bij1 0.7%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.