Netherlands
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Netherlands: Poll by Ipsos from 19.12.2022

Polling data

VVD
16.9
-0.3
PVV
11.8
-0.2
D66
8.7
-2.3
BBB
8.4
+0.5
GL
8.0
+0.5
PvdA
7.0
+0.5
CDA
6.0
+0.6
JA21
6.0
+0.2
SP
5.3
-0.4
PvdD
5.0
-0.8
Volt
3.4
+0.3
CU
3.3
+0.2
SGP
2.6
+0.6
FvD
2.3
+0.9
DENK
1.9
-0.1
B1
1.0
-0.3
50+
0.6
±0.0
Others
1.8
0.0
Development since the last election on 17.03.2021
VVD
-5.0
PVV
+1.0
D66
-6.3
BBB
+7.4
GL
+2.8
PvdA
+1.3
CDA
-3.5
JA21
+3.6
SP
-0.7
PvdD
+1.2
Volt
+1.0
CU
-0.1
SGP
+0.5
FvD
-2.7
DENK
-0.1
B1
+0.2
50+
-0.4
Ipsos – 1005 respondents – 16.12.2022-19.12.2022

Netherlands - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Netherlands from Ipsos shows the following results: VVD 16.9%, PVV 11.8%, Democraten 66 8.7%, BBB 8.4%, GroenLinks 8%, Partij van de Arbeid 7%, Christen-Democratisch Appèl 6%, JA21 6%, Socialistische Partij 5.3%, Partij voor de Dieren 5%, Volt 3.4%, ChristenUnie 3.3%, Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 2.6%, Forum voor Democratie 2.3%, Denk 1.9%, Bij1 1% and 50Plus 0.6%. If an election were held in Netherlands this Sunday, BBB might gain the most in voter favorability with +7.4 growth since the last election. Democraten 66, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-6.3) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Mark Rutte is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from VVD, Christen-Democratisch Appèl, Democraten 66 and ChristenUnie. With 35.7% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Ipsos. For this purpose, 1005 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (16.12.2022 - 19.12.2022).

Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Netherlands is expected to take place in 2025.

Coalition possibilities

VVD + PVV + Democraten 66 + BBB + Christen-Democratisch Appèl
53.0
VVD + PVV + Democraten 66 + BBB + JA21
53.0
VVD + PVV + Democraten 66 + Christen-Democratisch Appèl + JA21
50.5
VVD + PVV + Democraten 66 + BBB + ChristenUnie
50.3
VVD + Democraten 66 + BBB + GroenLinks + Partij van de Arbeid
50.2
VVD + PVV + BBB + Christen-Democratisch Appèl + JA21
50.2
VVD + Democraten 66 + BBB + GroenLinks + Christen-Democratisch Appèl
49.1
Government might not stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties achieve 35.7% of the votes.

Frequently asked questions about election polls

election poll results
This election poll on the parliamentary election in Netherlands was conducted by Ipsos. The survey took place between 16.12.2022 and 19.12.2022 among 1005 eligible voters. After this election poll would get VVD 16.9%, PVV 11.8%, Democraten 66 8.7%, BBB 8.4%, GroenLinks 8%, Partij van de Arbeid 7%, Christen-Democratisch Appèl 6%, JA21 6%, Socialistische Partij 5.3%, Partij voor de Dieren 5%, Volt 3.4%, ChristenUnie 3.3%, Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 2.6%, Forum voor Democratie 2.3%, Denk 1.9%, Bij1 1% and 50Plus 0.6%.
How reliable are election polls?
Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.
What should you look out for in election polls?
Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.

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