Latest polls from Opinion
Accuracy in elections
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Opinion pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 0.9 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, Opinion's average ranking is 5.0.
1x the most accurate prediction
2
0x the second best prediction
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0x the third best prediction
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0x on rank 4
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0x on rank 5
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0x on rank 6
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0x on rank 7
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0x on rank 8
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1x on rank 9
Rating of parties
Institute often rates Arbeiderpartiet lower
In 31% of election polls Opinion rates Arbeiderpartiet lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Høyre higher
In 44% of election polls, Opinion rates Høyre higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.