Current election polls and polling data from Opinion

Latest voting intention survey by Opinion for Norway

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Norway conducted by Opinion, the parties received the following results: Fremskrittspartiet 26.7%, Arbeiderpartiet 22.2%, Høyre 17.8%, Rødt 6.9%, Senterpartiet 6%, Sosialistisk Venstreparti 5.1%, Venstre 4.7%, Kristelig Folkeparti 4% and De Grønne 3.7%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1201 people during the period 02.12.2025 - 02.12.2025.
1201 participants
24.11.2025 - 02.12.2025
Opinion
Development since the last election on 08.09.2025
FrP
+2.8
Ap
-6.0
H
+3.2
R
+1.6
Sp
+0.4
SV
-0.4
V
+1.0
KrF
-0.2
MDG
-1.0
FrP
26.7
+1.7
Ap
22.2
-0.4
H
17.8
-1.9
R
6.9
+0.1
Sp
6.0
-0.4
SV
5.1
-1.7
V
4.7
+1.4
KrF
4.0
+1.0
MDG
3.7
-0.1
Others
2.9
+0.3

Seats in parliament

169
Majority requires 85 seats
R
12
7.1%
SV
9
5.3%
Ap
41
24.3%
V
8
4.7%
Sp
10
5.9%
H
33
19.5%
KrF
7
4.1%
FrP
49
29%
Arbeiderpartiet + Høyre + Senterpartiet + Venstre
54.4%
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Senterpartiet
54.4%
Arbeiderpartiet + Høyre + Senterpartiet + Kristelig Folkeparti
53.8%
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Venstre
53.3%
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti
52.7%
Arbeiderpartiet + Høyre + Venstre + Kristelig Folkeparti
52.7%
Fremskrittspartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti + Venstre
52.1%
Arbeiderpartiet + Høyre + Senterpartiet
49.7%
82

PolitPro Score

Opinion achieves a score of 82/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
Ap
37
55
8
FrP
20
52
28
H
14
51
35
KrF
3
95
2
MDG
2
98
0
R
5
86
9
SV
8
83
9
Sp
8
85
8
V
12
80
8

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

1.1

Average deviation

On average, party poll results in Opinion pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.1 percentage points.

Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections

Deviation Election Rank
1.61
 Parliamentary Election in Norway 2025 6/6
0.58
 Parliamentary Election in Norway 2021 1/6

How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?

The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.
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