Norway
Election trend
Parties

Norway: Poll by Sentio from 21.08.2021

Polling data

Ap
23.9
±0.0
H
19.1
-2.8
Sp
13.2
-5.5
FrP
9.8
-0.3
SV
8.8
+1.8
MDG
7.2
+2.2
R
5.4
+0.6
KrF
3.9
+0.6
V
3.8
+1.0
Sonst.
4.9
+2.4
Development since the last election on 13.09.2021
Ap
-2.4
H
-1.3
Sp
-0.3
FrP
-1.8
SV
+1.2
MDG
+3.3
R
+0.7
KrF
+0.1
V
-0.8
Sentio – 1000 respondents – 17.08.2021-21.08.2021
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Norway is expected to take place in 2025.

Election poll results

Norway - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Norway from Sentio shows the following results: Arbeiderpartiet 23.9%, Høyre 19.1%, Senterpartiet 13.2%, Fremskrittspartiet 9.8%, Sosialistisk Venstreparti 8.8%, De Grønne 7.2%, Rødt 5.4%, Kristelig Folkeparti 3.9% and Venstre 3.8%. If an election were held in Norway this Sunday, De Grønne might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.3 growth since the last election. Arbeiderpartiet, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.4) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Jonas Gahr Støre is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Arbeiderpartiet and Senterpartiet. With 42.4% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Sentio. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 4 days (17.08.2021 - 21.08.2021).

Coalition possibilities

169
SV
17
R
10
Ap
47
MDG
13
Sp
26
H
38
FrP
18
Majority requires 85 seats
Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti
90
Arbeiderpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti + De Grønne + Rødt
87
Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + De Grønne
86
Arbeiderpartiet + Høyre
85
Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Rødt
83

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Norway was conducted by Sentio. The survey took place between 17.08.2021 and 21.08.2021 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Arbeiderpartiet 23.9%, Høyre 19.1%, Senterpartiet 13.2%, Fremskrittspartiet 9.8%, Sosialistisk Venstreparti 8.8%, De Grønne 7.2%, Rødt 5.4%, Kristelig Folkeparti 3.9% and Venstre 3.8%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.