Current election polls and polling data from United Surveys

Latest voting intention survey by United Surveys for Poland

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Poland conducted by United Surveys, the parties received the following results: KO 37.7%, PiS 31.1%, Kon 17.7%, PL2050/PSL 7.5%, Lewica 5.4% and Razem 0.5%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1000 people during the period 06.04.2025 - 06.04.2025. The survey was commissioned by wp.pl.
1000 participants
04.04.2025 - 06.04.2025
United Surveys
wp.pl
KO
37.7
+1.7
PiS
31.1
+0.3
Kon
17.7
-1.3
PL2050/PSL
7.5
-0.3
Lewica
5.4
-0.1
Razem
0.5
-0.4
Others
0.1
+0.1

Seats in parliament

460
Majority requires 231 seats
Lewica
25
5.4%
PL2050/PSL
34
7.4%
KO
175
38%
PiS
144
31.3%
Kon
82
17.8%
KO + PiS
69.3%
PiS + Kon + PL2050/PSL
56.5%
KO + Kon
55.9%
PiS + Kon + Lewica
54.6%
KO + PL2050/PSL + Lewica
50.9%
PiS + Kon
49.1%

64

PolitPro Score

United Surveys achieves a score of 64/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
KO
22
52
26
Kon
37
53
10
Lewica
3
65
32
PL2050/PSL
9
51
40
PiS
11
33
56
Razem
67
33
0

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

2.2

Average deviation

On average, party poll results in United Surveys pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.2 percentage points.

Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections

Deviation Election Rank
2.2
Parliamentary Election in Polen 2023 8/11

How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?

The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.