Poland
Election trend
Parties

Poland: Poll by Kantar Public from 20.07.2022

Polling data

KO
32.0
+4.0
PiS
31.0
+31.0
Lewica
9.0
-1.0
PL2050
9.0
-3.0
Kon
7.0
+2.0
PSL
6.0
+1.0
K'15
4.0
+2.0
AU
1.0
+1.0
P
1.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 15.10.2023
KO
+1.3
PiS
Lewica
+0.4
PL2050
Kon
-0.2
PSL
K'15
AU
P
Kantar Public – 985 respondents – 15.07.2022-20.07.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Poland is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Poland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Poland from Kantar Public shows the following results: KO 32%, PiS 31%, Lewica 9%, PL2050 9%, Kon 7%, PSL 6%, Kukiz’15 4%, AGROunia 1% and Porozumienie 1%. If an election were held in Poland this Sunday, KO might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.3 growth since the last election. Kon, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-0.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Donald Tusk is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from KO, Lewica and PL2050/PSL. With 43.6% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Kantar Public. For this purpose, 985 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (15.07.2022 - 20.07.2022).

Coalition possibilities

460
Lewica
44
PL2050
44
KO
157
PSL
29
PiS
152
Kon
34
Majority requires 231 seats
KO + PiS
309
PiS + PL2050 + Kon + PSL
259
KO + Lewica + PL2050
245
PiS + Lewica + PL2050
240
KO + Lewica + Kon
235
KO + PL2050 + Kon
235
KO + Lewica + PSL
230
KO + PL2050 + PSL
230
PiS + Lewica + Kon
230
PiS + PL2050 + Kon
230

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Poland was conducted by Kantar Public. The survey took place between 15.07.2022 and 20.07.2022 among 985 eligible voters. After this election poll would get KO 32%, PiS 31%, Lewica 9%, PL2050 9%, Kon 7%, PSL 6%, Kukiz’15 4%, AGROunia 1% and Porozumienie 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.