Poland
Election trend
Parties

Poland: Poll by Kantar Public from 19.10.2022

Polling data

KO
36.0
+4.0
PiS
32.0
-2.0
PL2050
11.0
+2.0
Lewica
8.0
±0.0
Kon
6.0
-1.0
PSL
5.0
+1.0
Sonst.
2.0
-4.0
Development since the last election on 15.10.2023
KO
+5.3
PiS
PL2050
Lewica
-0.6
Kon
-1.2
PSL
Kantar Public – 982 respondents – 14.10.2022-19.10.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Poland is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Poland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Poland from Kantar Public shows the following results: KO 36%, PiS 32%, PL2050 11%, Lewica 8%, Kon 6% and PSL 5%. If an election were held in Poland this Sunday, KO might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.3 growth since the last election. Kon, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Donald Tusk is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from KO, Lewica and PL2050/PSL. With 44.9% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Kantar Public. For this purpose, 982 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (14.10.2022 - 19.10.2022).

Coalition possibilities

460
Lewica
37
PL2050
51
KO
170
PSL
23
PiS
151
Kon
28
Majority requires 231 seats
KO + PiS
321
KO + PL2050 + Lewica
258
PiS + PL2050 + Kon + PSL
253
KO + PL2050 + Kon
249
KO + PL2050 + PSL
244
PiS + PL2050 + Lewica
239
KO + Lewica + Kon
235
KO + Lewica + PSL
230
PiS + PL2050 + Kon
230

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Poland was conducted by Kantar Public. The survey took place between 14.10.2022 and 19.10.2022 among 982 eligible voters. After this election poll would get KO 36%, PiS 32%, PL2050 11%, Lewica 8%, Kon 6% and PSL 5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.