Latest polls from Duplimétrica
Rating of parties
Institute often rates Aliança Democrática higher
In 57% of election polls, Duplimétrica rates Aliança Democrática higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates CDU lower
In 50% of election polls Duplimétrica rates CDU lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Iniciativa Liberal higher
In 50% of election polls, Duplimétrica rates Iniciativa Liberal higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates LIVRE higher
In 43% of election polls, Duplimétrica rates LIVRE higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Partido Socialista lower
In 71% of election polls Duplimétrica rates Partido Socialista lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Duplimétrica pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.6 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, Duplimétrica's average ranking is 4.0.
0x the most accurate prediction
2
0x the second best prediction
3
0x the third best prediction
4
1x on rank 4