Latest voting intention survey by GfK Metris for Portugal
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Portugal conducted by GfK Metris, the parties received the following results: Partido Socialista 38%, PSD 28%, Bloco de Esquerda 10%, CDU 6%, CDS–Partido Popular 5%, PAN 3%, LIVRE 0.5%, Chega 0.4%, Aliança 0.3% and Iniciativa Liberal 0.2%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1330 people during the period 29.09.2019 - 29.09.2019. The survey was commissioned by Expresso and SIC Notícias.
1330 participants
23.09.2019 - 29.09.2019
GfK Metris
Expresso and SIC Notícias
PS
38.0
-4.0
PSD
28.0
+5.0
BE
10.0
+1.0
CDU
6.0
±0.0
PP
5.0
±0.0
PAN
3.0
-1.0
L
0.5
±0.0
CH
0.4
±0.0
A
0.3
±0.0
IL
0.2
±0.0
Others
8.6
-1.0
This poll is more than 3 months old.
Seats in parliament
230
Majority requires 116 seats
BE
25
10.9%
CDU
15
6.5%
PAN
7
3%
L
1
0.4%
PS
98
42.6%
PSD
72
31.3%
PP
12
5.2%
Partido Socialista + PSD
Partido Socialista + Bloco de Esquerda
Partido Socialista + CDU + PAN
Partido Socialista + CDU
?
PolitPro Score
GfK Metris achieves a score of ?/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
0.5
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in GfK Metris pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 0.5 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
0.53
|
Parliamentary Election in Portugal 2019 | 1/6 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.