Latest voting intention survey by ADS for Romania
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Romania conducted by ADS, the parties received the following results: PNL 31.2%, PSD 27.3%, USR 12.5%, UDMR 5.1%, PMP 4.8%, PRO România 4.6%, PER 4.3% and PPU 2%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1280 people during the period 18.11.2020 - 18.11.2020.
1280 participants
11.11.2020 - 18.11.2020
ADS
PNL
31.2
±0.0
PSD
27.3
±0.0
USR
12.5
±0.0
UDMR
5.1
±0.0
PMP
4.8
±0.0
PRO
4.6
±0.0
PER
4.3
±0.0
PPU
2.0
±0.0
Others
8.2
±0.0
This poll is more than 3 months old.
Seats in parliament
330
Majority requires 166 seats
PSD
119
36.1%
USR
54
16.4%
UDMR
22
6.7%
PNL
135
40.9%
PNL + PSD
PNL + USR
PSD + USR
?
PolitPro Score
ADS achieves a score of ?/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
2.1
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in ADS pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.1 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
2.11
|
Parliamentary Election in Rumänien 2020 | 2/5 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.