Current election polls and polling data from Ninamedia

Latest voting intention survey by Ninamedia for Slovenia

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Slovenia conducted by Ninamedia, the parties received the following results: SDS 34.4%, Svoboda 24.4%, SD 11.5%, NSi 8.6%, Levica 7.6%, Vesna 4.7% and SLS 3.7%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 700 people during the period 11.09.2024 - 11.09.2024.
700 participants
09.09.2024 - 11.09.2024
Ninamedia
SDS
34.4
-0.2
GS
24.4
-1.2
SD
11.5
-0.6
NSi
8.6
-0.2
L
7.6
+0.3
Vesna
4.7
-0.8
SLS
3.7
-0.2
Others
5.1
+2.9
This poll is more than 3 months old.

Seats in parliament

90
Majority requires 46 seats
L
7
7.8%
GS
25
27.8%
SD
11
12.2%
Vesna
4
4.4%
NSi
8
8.9%
SDS
35
38.9%
Svoboda + SD + NSi + Vesna
53.3%
Svoboda + SD + Levica + Vesna
52.2%

68

PolitPro Score

Ninamedia achieves a score of 68/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
GS
11
25
64
L
8
67
25
NSi
6
61
33
SD
6
41
53
SDS
20
44
35
SLS
5
95
0
Vesna
14
86
0

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

1.7

Average deviation

On average, party poll results in Ninamedia pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.7 percentage points.

Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections

Deviation Election Rank
1.73
Parliamentary Election in Slowenien 2022 1/3

How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?

The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.