Latest voting intention survey by YouGov for Spain
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Spain conducted by YouGov, the parties received the following results: Partido Popular 32%, PSOE 28%, Vox 14%, Sumar 14%, ERC 2%, Junts per Catalunya 2%, EH Bildu 1%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1% and Galego 1%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 10807 people during the period 17.07.2023 - 17.07.2023.
10807 participants
06.07.2023 - 17.07.2023
YouGov
Development since the last election on 23.07.2023
PP
32.0
+1.0
PSOE
28.0
±0.0
Vox
14.0
±0.0
Sumar
14.0
±0.0
ERC
2.0
±0.0
JxC
2.0
±0.0
Bildu
1.0
±0.0
PNV
1.0
±0.0
BNG
1.0
±0.0
Others
5.0
-1.0
This poll is more than 3 months old.
Seats in parliament
350
Majority requires 176 seats
Sumar
55
15.7%
PSOE
112
32%
PP
128
36.6%
Vox
55
15.7%
Partido Popular + PSOE
Partido Popular + Vox
PSOE + Sumar
?
PolitPro Score
YouGov achieves a score of ?/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
2.0
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in YouGov pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.0 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
2.03
|
Parliamentary Election in Spain 2023 | 6/10 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.