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Spain: Poll by electoPanel from 19.06.2020

Polling data

PSOE
25.5
-0.4
PP
24.6
-0.1
Vox
14.2
+0.1
UP
11.8
+0.1
Cs
8.2
+0.3
ERC
3.6
±0.0
PDeCAT
2.6
±0.0
Comp
1.9
-0.1
PNV
1.3
±0.0
Bildu
1.2
±0.0
CC
0.5
±0.0
BNG
0.5
±0.0
Sonst.
4.1
+0.1
Development since the last election on 23.07.2023
PSOE
-6.2
PP
-8.5
Vox
+1.8
UP
New
Cs
New
ERC
+1.7
PDeCAT
New
Comp
New
PNV
+0.2
Bildu
-0.2
CC
±0.0
BNG
-0.1
electoPanel – 3530 respondents – 13.06.2020-19.06.2020

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Spain is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates PSOE lower

In 38% of election polls electoPanel rates PSOE lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Spain - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Spain from electoPanel shows the following results: PSOE 25.5%, Partido Popular 24.6%, Vox 14.2%, Unidos Podemos 11.8%, Ciudadanos 8.2%, ERC 3.6%, Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 2.6%, Coalició Compromís 1.9%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.3%, EH Bildu 1.2%, Coalición Canaria 0.5% and Galego 0.5%. If an election were held in Spain this Sunday, Vox might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.8 growth since the last election. Partido Popular, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-8.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Pedro Sánchez is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from PSOE and Sumar. With 29.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by electoPanel. For this purpose, 3530 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 6 days (13.06.2020 - 19.06.2020).

Coalition possibilities

350
UP
47
PSOE
102
ERC
14
Cs
32
PP
98
Vox
57
Majority requires 176 seats
PSOE + Partido Popular
200
Partido Popular + Vox + Ciudadanos
187
PSOE + Unidos Podemos + ERC
163

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Spain was conducted by electoPanel. The survey took place between 13.06.2020 and 19.06.2020 among 3530 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PSOE 25.5%, Partido Popular 24.6%, Vox 14.2%, Unidos Podemos 11.8%, Ciudadanos 8.2%, ERC 3.6%, Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 2.6%, Coalició Compromís 1.9%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.3%, EH Bildu 1.2%, Coalición Canaria 0.5% and Galego 0.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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