Spain
Election trend
Parties

Spain: Poll by CIS from 12.05.2022

Polling data

PSOE
30.3
±0.0
PP
28.7
+1.5
Vox
16.6
+2.2
UP
9.6
-1.1
ERC
2.5
+0.1
MP
2.1
±0.0
Cs
1.8
-0.2
PNV
1.3
±0.0
JxC
1.2
±0.0
CUP
0.6
-0.3
BNG
0.5
-0.1
CC
0.3
±0.0
NA+
0.2
±0.0
TE
0.1
±0.0
PRC
0.1
±0.0
Sonst.
4.1
-2.1
Development since the last election on 23.07.2023
PSOE
-1.4
PP
-4.4
Vox
+4.2
UP
ERC
+0.6
MP
Cs
PNV
+0.2
JxC
-0.4
CUP
+0.2
BNG
-0.1
CC
-0.2
NA+
TE
PRC
CIS – 3865 respondents – 03.05.2022-12.05.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Spain is expected to take place in 2027.
Institute often rates Ciudadanos higher
In 30% of election polls, CIS rates Ciudadanos higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Partido Popular lower
In 76% of election polls CIS rates Partido Popular lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PSOE higher
In 90% of election polls, CIS rates PSOE higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Unidos Podemos higher
In 39% of election polls, CIS rates Unidos Podemos higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Vox lower
In 80% of election polls CIS rates Vox lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Spain - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Spain from CIS shows the following results: PSOE 30.3%, Partido Popular 28.7%, Vox 16.6%, Unidos Podemos 9.6%, ERC 2.5%, Más País 2.1%, Ciudadanos 1.8%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.3%, Junts per Catalunya 1.2%, CUP 0.6%, Galego 0.5%, Coalición Canaria 0.3%, Navarra Suma 0.2%, ¡Teruel Existe! 0.1% and PRC 0.1%. If an election were held in Spain this Sunday, Vox might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.2 growth since the last election. Partido Popular, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-4.4) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Pedro Sánchez is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from PSOE and Sumar. With 35.6% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by CIS. For this purpose, 3865 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 9 days (03.05.2022 - 12.05.2022).

Coalition possibilities

350
UP
39
PSOE
125
PP
118
Vox
68
Majority requires 176 seats
PSOE + Partido Popular
243
Partido Popular + Vox
186
PSOE + Unidos Podemos
164

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Spain was conducted by CIS. The survey took place between 03.05.2022 and 12.05.2022 among 3865 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PSOE 30.3%, Partido Popular 28.7%, Vox 16.6%, Unidos Podemos 9.6%, ERC 2.5%, Más País 2.1%, Ciudadanos 1.8%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.3%, Junts per Catalunya 1.2%, CUP 0.6%, Galego 0.5%, Coalición Canaria 0.3%, Navarra Suma 0.2%, ¡Teruel Existe! 0.1% and PRC 0.1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.