Spain
Election trend
Parties

Spain: Poll by SW Demoscopia from 01.07.2022

Polling data

PSOE
24.7
-1.2
PP
23.8
+1.1
Vox
19.8
-1.6
UP
10.9
+1.1
ERC
3.8
±0.0
MP
2.8
-0.3
JxC
1.8
-0.1
Cs
1.7
-0.5
PNV
1.7
±0.0
Bildu
1.4
+0.2
CUP
1.0
+0.1
CC
0.5
±0.0
NA+
0.2
±0.0
PRC
0.2
±0.0
Sonst.
5.7
+1.2
Development since the last election on 23.07.2023
PSOE
-7.0
PP
-9.3
Vox
+7.4
UP
ERC
+1.9
MP
JxC
+0.2
Cs
PNV
+0.6
Bildu
±0.0
CUP
+0.6
CC
±0.0
NA+
PRC
SW Demoscopia – 1002 respondents – 29.06.2022-01.07.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Spain is expected to take place in 2027.
Institute often rates Partido Popular lower
In 58% of election polls SW Demoscopia rates Partido Popular lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Vox higher
In 92% of election polls, SW Demoscopia rates Vox higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Spain - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Spain from SW Demoscopia shows the following results: PSOE 24.7%, Partido Popular 23.8%, Vox 19.8%, Unidos Podemos 10.9%, ERC 3.8%, Más País 2.8%, Junts per Catalunya 1.8%, Ciudadanos 1.7%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.7%, EH Bildu 1.4%, CUP 1%, Coalición Canaria 0.5%, Navarra Suma 0.2% and PRC 0.2%. If an election were held in Spain this Sunday, Vox might gain the most in voter favorability with +7.4 growth since the last election. Partido Popular, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-9.3) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Pedro Sánchez is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from PSOE and Sumar. With 29.8% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by SW Demoscopia. For this purpose, 1002 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (29.06.2022 - 01.07.2022).

Coalition possibilities

350
UP
46
PSOE
104
ERC
16
PP
100
Vox
84
Majority requires 176 seats
PSOE + Partido Popular
204
Partido Popular + Vox
184
PSOE + Unidos Podemos + ERC
166

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Spain was conducted by SW Demoscopia. The survey took place between 29.06.2022 and 01.07.2022 among 1002 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PSOE 24.7%, Partido Popular 23.8%, Vox 19.8%, Unidos Podemos 10.9%, ERC 3.8%, Más País 2.8%, Junts per Catalunya 1.8%, Ciudadanos 1.7%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.7%, EH Bildu 1.4%, CUP 1%, Coalición Canaria 0.5%, Navarra Suma 0.2% and PRC 0.2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.