Spain
Election trend
Parties

Spain: Poll by Key Data from 14.04.2019

Polling data

PSOE
28.8
+0.1
PP
20.8
+0.2
Cs
15.6
-0.4
UP
13.5
-0.2
Vox
9.8
-1.0
ERC
3.4
+0.5
PDeCAT
1.6
+0.2
PNV
1.3
+0.1
Bildu
0.9
+0.1
CC
0.3
+0.1
Sonst.
4.0
+0.3
Development since the last election on 23.07.2023
PSOE
-2.9
PP
-12.3
Cs
UP
Vox
-2.6
ERC
+1.5
PDeCAT
PNV
+0.2
Bildu
-0.5
CC
-0.2
Key Data – :sample_size respondent count unknown – 14.04.2019-14.04.2019
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Spain is expected to take place in 2027.
Respondent number unknown
No information on the number of respondents is available for this poll.

Election poll results

Spain - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Spain from Key Data shows the following results: PSOE 28.8%, Partido Popular 20.8%, Ciudadanos 15.6%, Unidos Podemos 13.5%, Vox 9.8%, ERC 3.4%, Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 1.6%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.3%, EH Bildu 0.9% and Coalición Canaria 0.3%. If an election were held in Spain this Sunday, ERC might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.5 growth since the last election. Partido Popular, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-12.3) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Pedro Sánchez is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from PSOE and Sumar. With 31.3% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Key Data. For this purpose, 0 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (14.04.2019 - 14.04.2019).

Coalition possibilities

350
UP
51
PSOE
110
ERC
13
Cs
60
PP
79
Vox
37
Majority requires 176 seats
PSOE + Partido Popular
189
PSOE + Ciudadanos + ERC
183
Partido Popular + Ciudadanos + Vox
176
PSOE + Unidos Podemos + ERC
174

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Spain was conducted by Key Data. The poll was conducted on 14.04.2019 - the number of respondents is unknown. After this election poll would get PSOE 28.8%, Partido Popular 20.8%, Ciudadanos 15.6%, Unidos Podemos 13.5%, Vox 9.8%, ERC 3.4%, Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 1.6%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.3%, EH Bildu 0.9% and Coalición Canaria 0.3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.