Spain
Election trend
Parties

Spain: Poll by 40dB from 18.04.2019

Polling data

PSOE
28.8
+1.7
PP
17.8
-1.5
Cs
14.1
-3.6
UP
13.2
+0.9
Vox
12.5
+2.3
ERC
3.3
±0.0
PACMA
2.8
±0.0
PDeCAT
1.9
±0.0
Bildu
1.0
±0.0
PNV
1.0
±0.0
Comp
0.9
±0.0
CC
0.4
±0.0
Sonst.
2.3
+0.2
Development since the last election on 23.07.2023
PSOE
-2.9
PP
-15.3
Cs
UP
Vox
+0.1
ERC
+1.4
PACMA
PDeCAT
Bildu
-0.4
PNV
-0.1
Comp
CC
-0.1
40dB – 2000 respondents – 15.04.2019-18.04.2019
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Spain is expected to take place in 2027.
Institute often rates Partido Popular lower
In 61% of election polls 40dB rates Partido Popular lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Spain - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Spain from 40dB shows the following results: PSOE 28.8%, Partido Popular 17.8%, Ciudadanos 14.1%, Unidos Podemos 13.2%, Vox 12.5%, ERC 3.3%, PACMA 2.8%, Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 1.9%, EH Bildu 1%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1%, Coalició Compromís 0.9% and Coalición Canaria 0.4%. If an election were held in Spain this Sunday, ERC might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.4 growth since the last election. Partido Popular, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-15.3) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Pedro Sánchez is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from PSOE and Sumar. With 32.1% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by 40dB. For this purpose, 2000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (15.04.2019 - 18.04.2019).

Coalition possibilities

350
UP
51
PSOE
113
ERC
13
Cs
55
PP
69
Vox
49
Majority requires 176 seats
PSOE + Partido Popular
182
PSOE + Ciudadanos + ERC
181
PSOE + Unidos Podemos + ERC
177
Partido Popular + Ciudadanos + Vox
173

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Spain was conducted by 40dB. The survey took place between 15.04.2019 and 18.04.2019 among 2000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PSOE 28.8%, Partido Popular 17.8%, Ciudadanos 14.1%, Unidos Podemos 13.2%, Vox 12.5%, ERC 3.3%, PACMA 2.8%, Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 1.9%, EH Bildu 1%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1%, Coalició Compromís 0.9% and Coalición Canaria 0.4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.