Spain: Election polls by Ipsos from 29.10.2019

Spain - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Spain from Ipsos shows the following results: PSOE 26%, Partido Popular 19.4%, Vox 14%, Unidos Podemos 13%, Ciudadanos 10%, Coalició Compromís 4.7%, ERC 3.5%, Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 2.1% and Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.5%. If an election were held in Spain this Sunday, ERC might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.6 growth since the last election. Partido Popular, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-13.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Pedro Sánchez is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from PSOE and Sumar. With 28.7% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Ipsos. For this purpose, 2000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (28.10.2019 - 29.10.2019).

Coalition possibilities

350

Comp

PSOE

101

ERC

Vox

Majority requires 176 seats

PSOE + Partido Popular

176

Partido Popular + Vox + Ciudadanos

168

PSOE + Unidos Podemos + ERC

164

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Spain was conducted by Ipsos. The survey took place between 28.10.2019 and 29.10.2019 among 2000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PSOE 26%, Partido Popular 19.4%, Vox 14%, Unidos Podemos 13%, Ciudadanos 10%, Coalició Compromís 4.7%, ERC 3.5%, Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 2.1% and Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.

Spain: Poll by Ipsos from 29.10.2019

Polling data

Next election: 2027

Election poll results

Coalition possibilities

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

How reliable are election polls?

What should you look out for in election polls?