Spain: Poll by electoPanel from 04.11.2019

Spain: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
PSOE
27.2
+0.1
PP
20.8
-0.4
Vox
14.1
+0.5
UP
12.8
+0.3
Cs
8.7
+0.2
ERC
3.9
-0.1
Comp
3.1
-0.3
PDeCAT
1.6
+0.1
PNV
1.5
-0.1
Bildu
1.1
+0.1
CC
0.6
±0.0
Others
4.6
-0.4
Development since the last election on 23.07.2023
PSOE
-4.5
PP
-12.3
Vox
+1.7
UP
New
Cs
New
ERC
+2.0
Comp
New
PDeCAT
New
PNV
+0.4
Bildu
-0.3
CC
+0.1
electoPanel – 1250 respondents – 03.11.2019-04.11.2019

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Spain is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates PSOE lower

In 38% of election polls electoPanel rates PSOE lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Spain - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Spain from electoPanel shows the following results: PSOE 27.2%, Partido Popular 20.8%, Vox 14.1%, Unidos Podemos 12.8%, Ciudadanos 8.7%, ERC 3.9%, Coalició Compromís 3.1%, Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 1.6%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.5%, EH Bildu 1.1% and Coalición Canaria 0.6%. If an election were held in Spain this Sunday, ERC might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.0 growth since the last election. Partido Popular, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-12.3) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Pedro Sánchez is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from PSOE and Sumar. With 30.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by electoPanel. For this purpose, 1250 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (03.11.2019 - 04.11.2019).

Coalition possibilities

350
Majority requires 176 seats
UP
49
14%
Comp
12
3.4%
PSOE
105
30%
ERC
15
4.3%
Cs
33
9.4%
PP
81
23.1%
Vox
55
15.7%
PSOE + Partido Popular
53.1%
Partido Popular + Vox + Ciudadanos
48.3%
PSOE + Unidos Podemos + ERC
48.3%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Spain was conducted by electoPanel. The survey took place between 03.11.2019 and 04.11.2019 among 1250 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PSOE 27.2%, Partido Popular 20.8%, Vox 14.1%, Unidos Podemos 12.8%, Ciudadanos 8.7%, ERC 3.9%, Coalició Compromís 3.1%, Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 1.6%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.5%, EH Bildu 1.1% and Coalición Canaria 0.6%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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