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Spain: Poll by GESOP from 07.11.2019

Polling data

PSOE
26.9
+0.1
PP
20.1
+0.2
Vox
15.6
±0.0
UP
13.4
+0.4
Cs
6.5
-0.5
ERC
2.7
-0.3
Comp
2.5
-0.1
PDeCAT
1.6
+0.1
Sonst.
10.7
+0.1
Development since the last election on 23.07.2023
PSOE
-4.8
PP
-13.0
Vox
+3.2
UP
New
Cs
New
ERC
+0.8
Comp
New
PDeCAT
New
GESOP – 904 respondents – 05.11.2019-07.11.2019

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Spain is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates Partido Popular lower

In 61% of election polls GESOP rates Partido Popular lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates PSOE higher

In 30% of election polls, GESOP rates PSOE higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Spain - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Spain from GESOP shows the following results: PSOE 26.9%, Partido Popular 20.1%, Vox 15.6%, Unidos Podemos 13.4%, Ciudadanos 6.5%, ERC 2.7%, Coalició Compromís 2.5% and Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 1.6%. If an election were held in Spain this Sunday, Vox might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.2 growth since the last election. Partido Popular, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-13.0) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Pedro Sánchez is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from PSOE and Sumar. With 32.6% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by GESOP. For this purpose, 904 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (05.11.2019 - 07.11.2019).

Coalition possibilities

350
UP
57
PSOE
114
Cs
27
PP
86
Vox
66
Majority requires 176 seats
PSOE + Partido Popular
200
Partido Popular + Vox + Ciudadanos
179
PSOE + Unidos Podemos
171

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Spain was conducted by GESOP. The survey took place between 05.11.2019 and 07.11.2019 among 904 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PSOE 26.9%, Partido Popular 20.1%, Vox 15.6%, Unidos Podemos 13.4%, Ciudadanos 6.5%, ERC 2.7%, Coalició Compromís 2.5% and Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 1.6%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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