Spain
Election trend
Parties

Spain: Poll by GAD3 from 04.01.2023

Polling data

PP
33.2
-0.8
PSOE
25.9
-0.7
Vox
15.3
+1.1
UP
10.1
+1.2
ERC
2.6
-0.5
JxC
2.0
±0.0
MP
1.6
-0.7
PNV
1.3
±0.0
Cs
1.0
-0.6
Bildu
1.0
±0.0
CUP
0.7
-0.1
BNG
0.6
±0.0
CC
0.4
+0.1
PRC
0.2
±0.0
UPN
0.2
+0.2
TE
0.1
±0.0
Sonst.
3.8
+0.8
Development since the last election on 23.07.2023
PP
+0.1
PSOE
-5.8
Vox
+2.9
UP
ERC
+0.7
JxC
+0.4
MP
PNV
+0.2
Cs
Bildu
-0.4
CUP
+0.3
BNG
±0.0
CC
-0.1
PRC
UPN
±0.0
TE
GAD3 – 1002 respondents – 28.12.2022-04.01.2023
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Spain is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Spain - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Spain from GAD3 shows the following results: Partido Popular 33.2%, PSOE 25.9%, Vox 15.3%, Unidos Podemos 10.1%, ERC 2.6%, Junts per Catalunya 2%, Más País 1.6%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.3%, Ciudadanos 1%, EH Bildu 1%, CUP 0.7%, Galego 0.6%, Coalición Canaria 0.4%, PRC 0.2%, UPN 0.2% and ¡Teruel Existe! 0.1%. If an election were held in Spain this Sunday, Vox might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.9 growth since the last election. PSOE, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Pedro Sánchez is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from PSOE and Sumar. With 30.7% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by GAD3. For this purpose, 1002 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (28.12.2022 - 04.01.2023).

Coalition possibilities

350
UP
42
PSOE
107
PP
138
Vox
63
Majority requires 176 seats
Partido Popular + PSOE
245
Partido Popular + Vox
201
PSOE + Unidos Podemos
149

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Spain was conducted by GAD3. The survey took place between 28.12.2022 and 04.01.2023 among 1002 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Partido Popular 33.2%, PSOE 25.9%, Vox 15.3%, Unidos Podemos 10.1%, ERC 2.6%, Junts per Catalunya 2%, Más País 1.6%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.3%, Ciudadanos 1%, EH Bildu 1%, CUP 0.7%, Galego 0.6%, Coalición Canaria 0.4%, PRC 0.2%, UPN 0.2% and ¡Teruel Existe! 0.1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.